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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Leeds v Crystal Palace: numbers & prediction

Premier League · England · Elland Road

Leeds

WLDDW
0–0
FT
Leeds 60%Draw 22%Crystal Palace 17% Expected goals 2.22 – 1.16
83%
Betarazi pick

Leeds or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultLeeds to win ✗60% · @1.73
Double chanceLeeds or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27

Leeds vs Crystal Palace: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Leeds welcome Crystal Palace to Elland Road for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 20 September (14:00 WAT). In the table, Leeds are 9th, upper half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Crystal Palace are 20th (in the drop zone) with 7.

Current form

Leeds, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Newcastle, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Crystal Palace, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Lech Poznan, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Crystal Palace 0–0 Leeds.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Leeds 2.2 xG, Crystal Palace 1.2 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Leeds 60%, draw 22%, Crystal Palace 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Leeds or draw (83%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Leeds or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leeds 2–1 Crystal Palace. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Leeds60%fair 1.66 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.75
Crystal Palace17%fair 5.73 · @4.60
3.38Expected goals
2.22Leeds xG
1.16Crystal Palace xG
63%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Leeds 2.2 – 1.2 Crystal Palace expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLeeds to win ✗60%1.661.73
Double chanceLeeds or draw ✓83%1.211.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.591.67 ▲
Draw no betLeeds (draw no bet)78%1.29–
Asian handicapLeeds -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
First team to scoreLeeds to score first ✗64%1.57–
Half-time resultLeeds ahead at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Leeds / FT Leeds ✗40%2.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.27–

Recent results

Leeds – last 6

WLDDWW
14 Sepvs Newcastle4–1W
9 Sep@ Chelsea3–6L
5 Sep@ Brighton1–1D
30 Augvs Brentford1–1D
25 Aug@ Nottingham Forest2–0W
22 Aug@ Nottingham Forest1–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Crystal Palace – last 6

WLWWLL
17 Sepvs Lech Poznan4–0W
12 Sepvs Ipswich2–3L
8 Sepvs Middlesbrough3–0W
5 Sep@ Fulham3–2W
28 Augvs Manchester City1–4L
22 Aug@ Everton0–2L
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Crystal Palace v Leeds0–0
Leeds vs Crystal Palace head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal10901+1027
2Brighton10712+1922
3Manchester City10703+821
4Liverpool10532+418
5Chelsea10514+316
6Everton10442+216
7Bournemouth10433+215
8Brentford10352+514
9Leeds10352+214
10Aston Villa10343-313
11Tottenham10334-112
12Newcastle10334-312
13Hull City10253011
14Ipswich10325-511
15Fulham10244-210
16Nottingham Forest10235-49
17Coventry10307-99
18Manchester United10154-58
19Sunderland10226-98
20Crystal Palace10217-147

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leeds vs Crystal Palace?

Our pick is Leeds or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Leeds vs Crystal Palace?

On our numbers Leeds have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Crystal Palace 17%.

How many goals will there be in Leeds vs Crystal Palace?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leeds vs Crystal Palace?

Our predicted score is Leeds 2–1 Crystal Palace, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Leeds vs Crystal Palace?

Leeds vs Crystal Palace (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Elland Road.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.