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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest: numbers & prediction

Premier League · England · Selhurst Park
3–1
FT
Crystal Palace 34%Draw 23%Nottingham Forest 43% Expected goals 1.21 – 1.39
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2

Value bet: Nottingham Forest to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultNottingham Forest to win ✗43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.54

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest in the Premier League, played at Selhurst Park. In the table, Crystal Palace are 20th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 10 matches; Nottingham Forest are 16th (lower half) with 9. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Crystal Palace, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Bristol City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Nottingham Forest, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Coventry, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Crystal Palace, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Nottingham Forest.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Crystal Palace 1.2 xG, Nottingham Forest 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Crystal Palace 34%, draw 23%, Nottingham Forest 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Nottingham Forest to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crystal Palace 1–1 Nottingham Forest. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Crystal Palace34%fair 2.90 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.20
Nottingham Forest43%fair 2.35 · @2.50
2.60Expected goals
1.21Crystal Palace xG
1.39Nottingham Forest xG
61%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Crystal Palace 1.2 – 1.4 Nottingham Forest expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNottingham Forest to win ✗43%2.352.50 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.67
Draw no betNottingham Forest (draw no bet) ✗55%1.81–
Asian handicapCrystal Palace +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.36–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreNottingham Forest to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nottingham Forest / FT Nottingham Forest ✗24%4.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.54–

Recent results

Crystal Palace – last 6

LDWLWW
3 Octvs Bristol City0–2L
20 Sep@ Leeds0–0D
17 Sepvs Lech Poznan4–0W
12 Sepvs Ipswich2–3L
8 Sepvs Middlesbrough3–0W
5 Sep@ Fulham3–2W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Nottingham Forest – last 6

LWDDLL
19 Sepvs Coventry0–1L
12 Sep@ Aston Villa2–1W
5 Sepvs Tottenham0–0D
29 Aug@ Liverpool2–2D
25 Augvs Leeds0–2L
22 Augvs Leeds0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest.

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal10901+1027
2Brighton10712+1922
3Manchester City10703+821
4Liverpool10532+418
5Chelsea10514+316
6Everton10442+216
7Bournemouth10433+215
8Brentford10352+514
9Leeds10352+214
10Aston Villa10343-313
11Tottenham10334-112
12Newcastle10334-312
13Hull City10253011
14Ipswich10325-511
15Fulham10244-210
16Nottingham Forest10235-49
17Coventry10307-99
18Manchester United10154-58
19Sunderland10226-98
20Crystal Palace10217-147

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?

On our numbers Crystal Palace have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nottingham Forest 43%.

How many goals will there be in Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?

Our predicted score is Crystal Palace 1–1 Nottingham Forest, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Selhurst Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.