Liverpool 32%Draw 21%Manchester City 47%Expected goals 1.29 – 1.61
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultManchester City to win ✓47% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.85
Liverpool vs Manchester City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Manchester City travel to face Liverpool on Sunday 11 October in the Premier League, with Anfield the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Liverpool are 4th, among the top four, on 18 points after 10 matches; Manchester City are 3rd (among the top four) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Liverpool, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bournemouth, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Manchester City, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 5–3 win over Sunderland, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Manchester City, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.3 for Liverpool.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Apr 2026) it ended Manchester City 4–0 Liverpool.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Liverpool 1.3 xG, Manchester City 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Liverpool 32%, draw 21%, Manchester City 47%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Liverpool 1–1 Manchester City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Liverpool32%fair 3.12 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.50
Manchester City47%fair 2.14 · @2.25
2.90Expected goals
1.29Liverpool xG
1.61Manchester City xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Liverpool 1.3 – 1.6 Manchester City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Liverpool vs Manchester City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Liverpool vs Manchester City?
On our numbers Liverpool have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Manchester City 47%.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Manchester City?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Manchester City?
Our predicted score is Liverpool 1–1 Manchester City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Liverpool vs Manchester City?
Liverpool vs Manchester City (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Anfield.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
