Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultChelsea to win ✓45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.39
Everton vs Chelsea: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chelsea travel to face Everton on Saturday 17 October in the Premier League, with Hill Dickinson Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Everton are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Chelsea are 5th (upper half) with 16. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Everton, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Hull City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Chelsea, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Bournemouth, at home. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Everton 1.6 xG, Chelsea 1.8 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Everton 34%, draw 21%, Chelsea 45%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Everton 1–1 Chelsea. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Everton34%fair 2.96 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.50
Chelsea45%fair 2.22 · @2.10
3.42Expected goals
1.57Everton xG
1.85Chelsea xG
63%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Everton 1.6 – 1.8 Chelsea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelsea to win✓
45%
2.22
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.55
Draw no bet
Chelsea (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Everton +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
First team to score
Chelsea to score first✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelsea / FT Chelsea✗
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.39
–
Recent results
Everton – last 6
DWWDDD
11 Oct
@ Hull City
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Ipswich
1–0
W
16 Sep
vs Wolves
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Tottenham
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Manchester United
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Bournemouth
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chelsea – last 6
WLDWLW
10 Oct
vs Bournemouth
5–1
W
18 Sep
@ Brentford
0–3
L
12 Sep
vs Hull City
2–2
D
9 Sep
vs Leeds
6–3
W
6 Sep
@ Arsenal
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Brighton
4–3
W
3.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Everton and Chelsea.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Everton vs Chelsea?
On our numbers Everton have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chelsea 45%.
How many goals will there be in Everton vs Chelsea?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Chelsea?
Our predicted score is Everton 1–1 Chelsea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Everton vs Chelsea?
Everton vs Chelsea (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Hill Dickinson Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
