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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Arsenal v Everton: numbers & prediction

Premier League · England · Emirates Stadium

Arsenal

DWWWL
2–0
FT

Everton

LDWWD
Arsenal 70%Draw 21%Everton 9% Expected goals 1.76 – 0.45
70%
Betarazi pick

Arsenal to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultArsenal to win ✓70% · @1.44
Double chanceArsenal or draw ✓91% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.19

Arsenal vs Everton: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Arsenal v Everton in the Premier League, played at Emirates Stadium. In the table, Arsenal are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 10 matches; Everton are 6th (upper half) with 16.

Current form

Arsenal, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Bayern München, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Everton, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Chelsea, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Arsenal, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Everton.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal 1.8 xG, Everton 0.5 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal 70%, draw 21%, Everton 9%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Arsenal to win (70%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal 1–0 Everton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Arsenal70%fair 1.43 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @4.20
Everton9%fair 10.78 · @7.00
2.21Expected goals
1.76Arsenal xG
0.45Everton xG
47%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
2–017%
0–011%
3–010%
1–19%
2–18%

From our goals model: Arsenal 1.8 – 0.5 Everton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArsenal to win ✓70%1.431.44
Double chanceArsenal or draw ✓91%1.101.10
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.871.75
Draw no betArsenal (draw no bet) ✓88%1.13–
Asian handicapArsenal -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreArsenal to score first ✓71%1.41–
Half-time resultArsenal ahead at half-time ✓47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Arsenal / FT Arsenal ✓44%2.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.19–

Recent results

Arsenal – last 6

DWWWLW
21 Oct@ Bayern München2–2D
18 Oct@ Nottingham Forest1–0W
13 Octvs Lille3–0W
10 Octvs Leeds2–1W
19 Sep@ Brighton0–3L
15 Sep@ Ipswich4–2W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Everton – last 6

LDWWDD
17 Octvs Chelsea0–2L
11 Oct@ Hull City2–2D
19 Sepvs Ipswich1–0W
16 Sepvs Wolves1–0W
12 Sep@ Tottenham0–0D
6 Sepvs Manchester United2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Arsenal and Everton.

Arsenal vs Everton head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal10901+1027
2Brighton10712+1922
3Manchester City10703+821
4Liverpool10532+418
5Chelsea10514+316
6Everton10442+216
7Bournemouth10433+215
8Brentford10352+514
9Leeds10352+214
10Aston Villa10343-313
11Tottenham10334-112
12Newcastle10334-312
13Hull City10253011
14Ipswich10325-511
15Fulham10244-210
16Nottingham Forest10235-49
17Coventry10307-99
18Manchester United10154-58
19Sunderland10226-98
20Crystal Palace10217-147

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arsenal vs Everton?

Our pick is Arsenal to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Arsenal vs Everton?

On our numbers Arsenal have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Everton 9%.

How many goals will there be in Arsenal vs Everton?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Everton?

Our predicted score is Arsenal 1–0 Everton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Arsenal vs Everton?

Arsenal vs Everton (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Emirates Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.