Chelsea 63%Draw 22%Tottenham 15%Expected goals 2.25 – 1.04
85%
Betarazi pick
Chelsea or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Chelsea to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultChelsea to win ✗63% · @1.75
Double chanceChelsea or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Chelsea vs Tottenham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tottenham travel to face Chelsea on Saturday 24 October in the Premier League, with Stamford Bridge the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Chelsea are 5th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Tottenham are 11th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Chelsea, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Everton, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Tottenham, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Coventry, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Chelsea, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Tottenham.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended Chelsea 1–2 Tottenham. The last 2 head-to-heads: Chelsea 1 win, Tottenham 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chelsea 2.2 xG, Tottenham 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chelsea 63%, draw 22%, Tottenham 15%.
Lower-risk option: Chelsea or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Chelsea to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Chelsea or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelsea 2–1 Tottenham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chelsea63%fair 1.58 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.90
Tottenham15%fair 6.65 · @3.90
3.29Expected goals
2.25Chelsea xG
1.04Tottenham xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Chelsea 2.2 – 1.0 Tottenham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Chelsea or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Chelsea vs Tottenham?
On our numbers Chelsea have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tottenham 15%.
How many goals will there be in Chelsea vs Tottenham?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Tottenham?
Our predicted score is Chelsea 2–1 Tottenham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Chelsea vs Tottenham?
Chelsea vs Tottenham (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stamford Bridge.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
