Aston Villa 60%Draw 24%Fulham 16%Expected goals 1.69 – 0.75
84%
Betarazi pick
Aston Villa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.29Odds
1
Value bet: Aston Villa to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAston Villa to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceAston Villa or draw ✓84% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.72
Aston Villa vs Fulham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fulham travel to face Aston Villa on Saturday 31 October in the Premier League, with Villa Park the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Aston Villa are 10th, upper half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Fulham are 15th (lower half) with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Aston Villa, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Bournemouth, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Fulham, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Crystal Palace, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aston Villa 1.7 xG, Fulham 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aston Villa 60%, draw 24%, Fulham 16%.
Lower-risk option: Aston Villa or draw (84%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Aston Villa to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Aston Villa or draw (84%, odds 1.29 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aston Villa 1–0 Fulham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aston Villa60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.50
Fulham16%fair 6.24 · @3.60
2.44Expected goals
1.69Aston Villa xG
0.75Fulham xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Aston Villa 1.7 – 0.7 Fulham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aston Villa to win✗
60%
1.67
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Aston Villa or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.29 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.57
Draw no bet
Aston Villa (draw no bet)
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Aston Villa -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Aston Villa to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aston Villa / FT Aston Villa✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.72
–
Recent results
Aston Villa – last 6
LWWWWD
28 Oct
@ Bournemouth
0–3
L
24 Oct
vs Manchester City
2–1
W
21 Oct
vs Viking
3–1
W
17 Oct
@ Newcastle
1–0
W
14 Oct
vs Fenerbahçe
6–0
W
10 Oct
vs Brentford
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Fulham – last 6
LWWLDW
28 Oct
vs Crystal Palace
0–1
L
24 Oct
@ Coventry
1–0
W
17 Oct
vs Hull City
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Ipswich
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Manchester United
1–1
D
15 Sep
@ West Ham
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aston Villa and Fulham.
Our pick is Aston Villa or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Aston Villa vs Fulham?
On our numbers Aston Villa have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fulham 16%.
How many goals will there be in Aston Villa vs Fulham?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Fulham?
Our predicted score is Aston Villa 1–0 Fulham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Aston Villa vs Fulham?
Aston Villa vs Fulham (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Villa Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
