Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Leeds to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBournemouth to win ✓44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.60
Bournemouth vs Leeds: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 31 October the Premier League brings Bournemouth against Leeds at Vitality Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Bournemouth are 7th, upper half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Leeds are 9th (upper half) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bournemouth, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Aston Villa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Leeds, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sunderland, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Bournemouth, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Leeds.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Bournemouth 2–2 Leeds.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bournemouth 1.4 xG, Leeds 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bournemouth 44%, draw 23%, Leeds 34%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Leeds to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bournemouth 1–1 Leeds. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bournemouth44%fair 2.29 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.30
Leeds34%fair 2.96 · @3.40
2.50Expected goals
1.35Bournemouth xG
1.15Leeds xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Bournemouth 1.4 – 1.1 Leeds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Leeds?
On our numbers Bournemouth have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leeds 34%.
How many goals will there be in Bournemouth vs Leeds?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Leeds?
Our predicted score is Bournemouth 1–1 Leeds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Bournemouth vs Leeds?
Bournemouth vs Leeds (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Vitality Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
