Value bet: Newcastle to win @ 3.50 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFulham to win ✗48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.75
Fulham vs Newcastle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 7 November: Fulham v Newcastle in the Premier League, played at Craven Cottage. In the table, Fulham are 15th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Newcastle are 12th (lower half) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Fulham, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Aston Villa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Newcastle, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Everton, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Fulham 2–0 Newcastle.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fulham 1.6 xG, Newcastle 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fulham 48%, draw 21%, Newcastle 31%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Newcastle to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fulham 1–1 Newcastle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fulham48%fair 2.07 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.70
Newcastle31%fair 3.24 · @3.50
2.79Expected goals
1.59Fulham xG
1.20Newcastle xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Fulham 1.6 – 1.2 Newcastle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Fulham vs Newcastle?
On our numbers Fulham have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Newcastle 31%.
How many goals will there be in Fulham vs Newcastle?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Newcastle?
Our predicted score is Fulham 1–1 Newcastle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Fulham vs Newcastle?
Fulham vs Newcastle (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Craven Cottage.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
