Nottingham Forest 11%Draw 22%Manchester City 67%Expected goals 0.75 – 2.07
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Manchester City to win @ 1.67 – our chance 67% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultManchester City to win ✗67% · @1.67
Double chanceManchester City or draw ✗89% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nottingham Forest welcome Manchester City to City Ground for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 7 November (18:30 WAT). In the table, Nottingham Forest are 16th, lower half, on 9 points after 10 matches; Manchester City are 3rd (among the top four) with 21. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nottingham Forest, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Brentford, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Manchester City, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over RB Leipzig, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours Manchester City, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Nottingham Forest.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Mar 2026) it ended Manchester City 2–2 Nottingham Forest.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nottingham Forest 0.8 xG, Manchester City 2.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nottingham Forest 11%, draw 22%, Manchester City 67%.
Lower-risk option: Manchester City or draw (89%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Manchester City to win @1.67 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 67%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nottingham Forest 0–2 Manchester City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nottingham Forest11%fair 8.87 · @5.00
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.90
Manchester City67%fair 1.50 · @1.67
2.82Expected goals
0.75Nottingham Forest xG
2.07Manchester City xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–213%
0–112%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: Nottingham Forest 0.8 – 2.1 Manchester City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
On our numbers Nottingham Forest have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Manchester City 67%.
How many goals will there be in Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
Our predicted score is Nottingham Forest 0–2 Manchester City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at City Ground.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
