Value bet: Dumbarton to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDumbarton to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Edinburgh City travel to face Dumbarton on Saturday 15 August in the League Two, with Dumbarton Football Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Dumbarton are 6th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Edinburgh City are 7th (lower half) with 15. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Dumbarton, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Airdrie United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Edinburgh City, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Cowdenbeath, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Edinburgh City, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Dumbarton.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dumbarton 1.8 xG, Edinburgh City 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dumbarton 57%, draw 17%, Edinburgh City 26%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Dumbarton to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dumbarton 1–1 Edinburgh City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dumbarton57%fair 1.76 · @1.95
Draw17%fair 5.75 · @3.45
Edinburgh City26%fair 3.87 · @3.40
2.89Expected goals
1.80Dumbarton xG
1.09Edinburgh City xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Dumbarton 1.8 – 1.1 Edinburgh City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dumbarton to win✗
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.65
Draw no bet
Dumbarton (draw no bet)✗
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Edinburgh City +1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Dumbarton to score first✗
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dumbarton / FT Dumbarton✗
33%
3.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Dumbarton – last 6
LWLWLL
11 Aug
vs Airdrie United
1–3
L
8 Aug
vs Clyde
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Stirling Albion
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs Cove Rangers
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ East Kilbride
3–5
L
14 Jul
@ Dunfermline
1–4
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Edinburgh City – last 6
WDLWLW
11 Aug
vs Cowdenbeath
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Spartans
2–2
D
1 Aug
vs Elgin City
0–5
L
21 Jul
@ Stranraer
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ Ayr Utd
0–2
L
14 Jul
vs Alloa Athletic
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dumbarton and Edinburgh City.
What is the prediction for Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City?
On our numbers Dumbarton have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Edinburgh City 26%.
How many goals will there be in Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City?
Our predicted score is Dumbarton 1–1 Edinburgh City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City?
Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Dumbarton Football Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
