Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Elgin City welcome Kelty Hearts to Borough Briggs for a League Two fixture on Saturday 15 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Elgin City are 3rd, among the top four, on 21 points after 13 matches; Kelty Hearts are 5th (upper half) with 18. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Elgin City, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ross County, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Kelty Hearts, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Motherwell U21, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Kelty Hearts, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Elgin City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Elgin City 1.6 xG, Kelty Hearts 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Elgin City 43%, draw 22%, Kelty Hearts 36%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Elgin City 1–1 Kelty Hearts. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Elgin City43%fair 2.35 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.35
Kelty Hearts36%fair 2.79 · @2.75
2.99Expected goals
1.57Elgin City xG
1.42Kelty Hearts xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Elgin City 1.6 – 1.4 Kelty Hearts expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Elgin City to win✓
43%
2.35
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.65
1.65
Draw no bet
Elgin City (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Kelty Hearts +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Elgin City to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Elgin City / FT Elgin City✓
25%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.35
–
Recent results
Elgin City – last 6
LDWLLL
11 Aug
vs Ross County
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Forfar Athletic
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Edinburgh City
5–0
W
25 Jul
@ Hamilton Academical
0–5
L
18 Jul
vs Kilmarnock
0–1
L
14 Jul
vs Peterhead
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kelty Hearts – last 6
WWLLWL
11 Aug
vs Motherwell U21
4–3
W
8 Aug
vs Stirling Albion
3–2
W
1 Aug
@ Forfar Athletic
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Aberdeen
0–3
L
21 Jul
vs Brora Rangers
3–2
W
14 Jul
vs Queen's Park
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Elgin City and Kelty Hearts.
What is the prediction for Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts?
On our numbers Elgin City have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kelty Hearts 36%.
How many goals will there be in Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts?
Our predicted score is Elgin City 1–1 Kelty Hearts, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts?
Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Borough Briggs.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
