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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Annan Athletic v Dumbarton: numbers & prediction

League Two · Scotland · Galabank
2–0
FT
Annan Athletic 55%Draw 24%Dumbarton 22% Expected goals 1.68 – 0.95
78%
Betarazi pick

Annan Athletic or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.29Odds
1

Value bet: Annan Athletic to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAnnan Athletic to win ✓55% · @1.95
Double chanceAnnan Athletic or draw ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35

Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Dumbarton travel to face Annan Athletic on Saturday 29 August in the League Two, with Galabank the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Annan Athletic are 10th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 13 matches; Dumbarton are 6th (lower half) with 16.

Current form

Annan Athletic, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Berwick Rangers, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Dumbarton, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Celtic II, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Annan Athletic 1.7 xG, Dumbarton 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Annan Athletic 55%, draw 24%, Dumbarton 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: Annan Athletic or draw (78%) at 1.29.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.
  • Price worth noting: Annan Athletic to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Annan Athletic or draw (78%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Annan Athletic 1–0 Dumbarton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Annan Athletic55%fair 1.82 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.60
Dumbarton22%fair 4.64 · @3.40
2.63Expected goals
1.68Annan Athletic xG
0.95Dumbarton xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Annan Athletic 1.7 – 1.0 Dumbarton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAnnan Athletic to win ✓55%1.821.95 ▲
Double chanceAnnan Athletic or draw ✓78%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.671.60
Draw no betAnnan Athletic (draw no bet) ✓72%1.39–
Asian handicapDumbarton +1 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.96–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreAnnan Athletic to score first ✓59%1.69–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Annan Athletic / FT Annan Athletic ✗33%2.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.35–

Recent results

Annan Athletic – last 6

DLLLWL
25 Augvs Berwick Rangers2–2D
22 Aug@ Edinburgh City0–1L
15 Augvs Clyde1–2L
11 Aug@ Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic0–1L
8 Aug@ Stranraer1–0W
1 Augvs Spartans2–4L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Dumbarton – last 6

DLLLWL
25 Augvs Celtic II2–2D
22 Aug@ Kelty Hearts1–3L
15 Augvs Edinburgh City0–3L
11 Augvs Airdrie United1–3L
8 Augvs Clyde1–0W
1 Aug@ Stirling Albion0–2L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Annan Athletic and Dumbarton.

Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stranraer13832+1927
2Clyde13832+1027
3Elgin City13634+921
4Spartans13535+218
5Kelty Hearts13607-518
6Dumbarton13517-516
7Edinburgh City13553+315
8Stirling Albion13436-1015
9Forfar Athletic13337-1112
10Annan Athletic133010-129

More League Two predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton?

Our pick is Annan Athletic or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton?

On our numbers Annan Athletic have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dumbarton 22%.

How many goals will there be in Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton?

Our predicted score is Annan Athletic 1–0 Dumbarton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton?

Annan Athletic vs Dumbarton (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Galabank.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.