Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Kelty Hearts to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultStranraer to win ✓42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.47
Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Stranraer v Kelty Hearts in the League Two, played at Stair Park. In the table, Stranraer are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 13 matches; Kelty Hearts are 5th (upper half) with 18.
Current form
Stranraer, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Gala Fairydean Rovers, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Kelty Hearts, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Clydebank, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stranraer 1.6 xG, Kelty Hearts 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stranraer 42%, draw 22%, Kelty Hearts 36%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Kelty Hearts to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stranraer 1–1 Kelty Hearts. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stranraer42%fair 2.38 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
Kelty Hearts36%fair 2.76 · @3.10
3.13Expected goals
1.63Stranraer xG
1.50Kelty Hearts xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: Stranraer 1.6 – 1.5 Kelty Hearts expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stranraer to win✓
42%
2.38
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.67 ▲
Draw no bet
Stranraer (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Kelty Hearts +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
Stranraer to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stranraer / FT Stranraer✓
24%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.47
–
Recent results
Stranraer – last 6
WDWLLL
25 Aug
vs Gala Fairydean Rovers
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Stirling Albion
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Spartans
1–0
W
11 Aug
@ Alloa Athletic
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Annan Athletic
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Clyde
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kelty Hearts – last 6
LWLWWL
25 Aug
vs Clydebank
2–4
L
22 Aug
vs Dumbarton
3–1
W
15 Aug
@ Elgin City
1–4
L
11 Aug
vs Motherwell U21
4–3
W
8 Aug
vs Stirling Albion
3–2
W
1 Aug
@ Forfar Athletic
0–1
L
2.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stranraer and Kelty Hearts.
What is the prediction for Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts?
On our numbers Stranraer have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kelty Hearts 36%.
How many goals will there be in Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts?
Our predicted score is Stranraer 1–1 Kelty Hearts, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts?
Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stair Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
