Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultCelje to win ✗43% · @2.42
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.82
Celje vs Maribor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:15 WAT, Saturday 1 August: Celje v Maribor in the 1. SNL. In the table, Celje are 3rd, among the top four, on 23 points after 14 matches; Maribor are 2nd (among the top four) with 24. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Celje, last 5: DDDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Egnatia Rrogozhinë, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Maribor, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Brinje-Grosuplje, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Maribor, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Celje.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Celje 1.5 xG, Maribor 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Celje 43%, draw 24%, Maribor 32%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celje 1–1 Maribor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Celje43%fair 2.31 · @2.42
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.55
Maribor32%fair 3.10 · @2.54
2.70Expected goals
1.54Celje xG
1.16Maribor xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Celje 1.5 – 1.2 Maribor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celje to win✗
43%
2.31
2.42
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.40
Draw no bet
Celje (draw no bet)
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Maribor +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.25
First team to score
Celje to score first✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celje / FT Celje✗
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.82
–
Recent results
Celje – last 6
DDDLDL
28 Jul
vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1–1
D
22 Jul
@ Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3–3
D
17 Jul
vs Mura
2–2
D
8 Jul
vs MTK Budapest
1–2
L
4 Jul
vs Cukaricki
1–1
D
1 Jul
vs HNK Hajduk Split
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Maribor – last 6
WDDDDW
25 Jul
vs Brinje-Grosuplje
3–0
W
19 Jul
@ Aluminij
0–0
D
10 Jul
vs Charlton
1–1
D
4 Jul
vs Železničar Pančevo
1–1
D
1 Jul
@ CSKA 1948
3–3
D
23 May
vs Aluminij
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celje and Maribor.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Celje vs Maribor?
On our numbers Celje have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Maribor 32%.
How many goals will there be in Celje vs Maribor?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celje vs Maribor?
Our predicted score is Celje 1–1 Maribor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Celje vs Maribor?
Celje vs Maribor (1. SNL) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
