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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nafta v Mura: numbers & prediction

1. SNL · Slovenia

Nafta

WLLLW
5–2
FT

Mura

WDLDL
Nafta 43%Draw 26%Mura 31% Expected goals 1.46 – 1.08
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultNafta to win ✓43% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.02

Nafta vs Mura: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nafta welcome Mura for a 1. SNL fixture on Saturday 1 August (17:00 WAT). In the table, Nafta are 6th, lower half, on 19 points after 15 matches; Mura are 9th (in the drop zone) with 14.

Current form

Nafta, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Bravo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Mura, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Olimpija Ljubljana, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nafta 1.5 xG, Mura 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nafta 43%, draw 26%, Mura 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nafta 1–1 Mura. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nafta43%fair 2.31 · @2.38
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.30
Mura31%fair 3.24 · @2.72
2.53Expected goals
1.46Nafta xG
1.08Mura xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Nafta 1.5 – 1.1 Mura expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNafta to win ✓43%2.312.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.65
Draw no betNafta (draw no bet) ✓58%1.71–
Asian handicapMura +1 (Asian handicap) ✗71%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.381.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.951.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.371.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗89%1.13–
First team to scoreNafta to score first53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nafta / FT Nafta ✓27%3.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.02–

Recent results

Nafta – last 6

WLLLWD
26 Jul@ Bravo3–0W
17 Julvs Koper0–2L
11 Julvs FK Partizan1–4L
4 Julvs Budapest Honved0–3L
31 Mayvs Primorje1–0W
27 May@ Primorje0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Mura – last 6

WDLDLL
25 Julvs Olimpija Ljubljana1–0W
17 Jul@ Celje2–2D
5 Jul@ Beltinci1–4L
4 Julvs FC Noah1–1D
26 Jun@ Sturm Graz0–5L
22 May@ Radomlje2–3L
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Nafta and Mura.

Nafta vs Mura head-to-head page →

1. SNL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Koper15852+1329
2Maribor15663+624
3Celje14653+623
4Olimpija Ljubljana15654+423
5Bravo15654+123
6Nafta15546-219
7Aluminij15456+717
8Brinje-Grosuplje15447-916
9Mura15285-1114
10Radomlje14158-158

More 1. SNL predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nafta vs Mura?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Nafta vs Mura?

On our numbers Nafta have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mura 31%.

How many goals will there be in Nafta vs Mura?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nafta vs Mura?

Our predicted score is Nafta 1–1 Mura, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Nafta vs Mura?

Nafta vs Mura (1. SNL) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.