Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultCelje to win ✓62% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Nafta vs Celje: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Nafta v Celje in the 1. SNL. In the table, Nafta are 6th, lower half, on 19 points after 15 matches; Celje are 3rd (among the top four) with 23.
Current form
Nafta, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Aluminij, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Celje, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ararat-Armenia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nafta 1.0 xG, Celje 2.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nafta 19%, draw 19%, Celje 62%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Celje to win (62%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nafta 1–2 Celje. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nafta19%fair 5.16 · @3.90
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @3.80
Celje62%fair 1.63 · @1.75
3.11Expected goals
1.05Nafta xG
2.06Celje xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Nafta 1.0 – 2.1 Celje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celje to win✓
62%
1.63
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.45
Draw no bet
Celje (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Celje -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
First team to score
Celje to score first
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Celje ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celje / FT Celje✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Nafta – last 6
DWWLLL
9 Aug
@ Aluminij
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Mura
5–2
W
26 Jul
@ Bravo
3–0
W
17 Jul
vs Koper
0–2
L
11 Jul
vs FK Partizan
1–4
L
4 Jul
vs Budapest Honved
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Celje – last 6
WWLDDD
11 Aug
vs Ararat-Armenia
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Olimpija Ljubljana
1–0
W
4 Aug
@ Ararat-Armenia
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Maribor
1–1
D
28 Jul
vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1–1
D
22 Jul
@ Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3–3
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nafta and Celje.
Our pick is Celje to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Nafta vs Celje?
On our numbers Nafta have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Celje 62%.
How many goals will there be in Nafta vs Celje?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nafta vs Celje?
Our predicted score is Nafta 1–2 Celje, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Nafta vs Celje?
Nafta vs Celje (1. SNL) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
