Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMaribor to win ✗48% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.37
Olimpija Ljubljana vs Maribor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 15 August the 1. SNL brings Olimpija Ljubljana against Maribor at Stadion Stozice. Kick-off: 19:15 WAT. In the table, Olimpija Ljubljana are 4th, among the top four, on 23 points after 15 matches; Maribor are 2nd (among the top four) with 24. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Olimpija Ljubljana, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Celje, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Maribor, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Koper, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Maribor, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Olimpija Ljubljana.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Olimpija Ljubljana 0–0 Maribor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Olimpija Ljubljana 0.9 xG, Maribor 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Olimpija Ljubljana 31%, draw 21%, Maribor 48%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.35 – longer than our fair 1.31, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olimpija Ljubljana 0–1 Maribor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Olimpija Ljubljana31%fair 3.26 · @3.15
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.40
Maribor48%fair 2.09 · @2.08
2.12Expected goals
0.89Olimpija Ljubljana xG
1.23Maribor xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Olimpija Ljubljana 0.9 – 1.2 Maribor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Maribor?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Olimpija Ljubljana vs Maribor?
On our numbers Olimpija Ljubljana have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Maribor 48%.
How many goals will there be in Olimpija Ljubljana vs Maribor?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Maribor?
Our predicted score is Olimpija Ljubljana 0–1 Maribor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Olimpija Ljubljana vs Maribor?
Olimpija Ljubljana vs Maribor (1. SNL) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Stozice.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
