Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Celje to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCelje to win ✗63% · @1.73
Double chanceCelje or draw ✗85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Celje: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 30 August the 1. SNL brings Brinje-Grosuplje against Celje at Nogometni park Brinje. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Brinje-Grosuplje are 8th, in the drop zone, on 16 points after 15 matches; Celje are 3rd (among the top four) with 23.
Current form
Brinje-Grosuplje, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Aluminij, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Celje, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Slovan Bratislava, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Celje, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Brinje-Grosuplje.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Brinje-Grosuplje 0.9 xG, Celje 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Brinje-Grosuplje 15%, draw 23%, Celje 63%.
Lower-risk option: Celje or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Celje to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Celje or draw (85%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brinje-Grosuplje 0–2 Celje. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Brinje-Grosuplje15%fair 6.86 · @4.00
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.60
Celje63%fair 1.60 · @1.73
2.90Expected goals
0.88Brinje-Grosuplje xG
2.02Celje xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Brinje-Grosuplje 0.9 – 2.0 Celje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celje to win✗
63%
1.60
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Celje or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.53
Draw no bet
Celje (draw no bet)✗
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Celje -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Celje to score first
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Celje ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celje / FT Celje✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Brinje-Grosuplje – last 6
LLDDLW
21 Aug
@ Aluminij
2–4
L
16 Aug
vs Mura
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Bravo
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Koper
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Maribor
0–3
L
18 Jul
@ Radomlje
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Celje – last 6
DDWWWL
26 Aug
vs Slovan Bratislava
1–1
D
19 Aug
@ Slovan Bratislava
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Nafta
3–1
W
11 Aug
vs Ararat-Armenia
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Olimpija Ljubljana
1–0
W
4 Aug
@ Ararat-Armenia
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brinje-Grosuplje and Celje.
What is the prediction for Brinje-Grosuplje vs Celje?
Our pick is Celje or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Brinje-Grosuplje vs Celje?
On our numbers Brinje-Grosuplje have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Celje 63%.
How many goals will there be in Brinje-Grosuplje vs Celje?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brinje-Grosuplje vs Celje?
Our predicted score is Brinje-Grosuplje 0–2 Celje, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Brinje-Grosuplje vs Celje?
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Celje (1. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Nogometni park Brinje.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
