Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultMaribor to win ✓68% · @1.50
Double chanceMaribor or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.60
Nafta vs Maribor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 30 August the 1. SNL brings Nafta against Maribor. Kick-off: 19:15 WAT. In the table, Nafta are 6th, lower half, on 19 points after 15 matches; Maribor are 2nd (among the top four) with 24.
Current form
Nafta, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Olimpija Ljubljana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Maribor, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Bravo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Maribor, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Nafta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nafta 0.7 xG, Maribor 2.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nafta 13%, draw 19%, Maribor 68%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Maribor to win (68%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nafta 0–1 Maribor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nafta13%fair 7.43 · @5.50
Draw19%fair 5.35 · @3.90
Maribor68%fair 1.47 · @1.50
2.67Expected goals
0.71Nafta xG
1.96Maribor xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–39%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nafta 0.7 – 2.0 Maribor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maribor to win✓
68%
1.47
1.50
Double chance
Maribor or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Draw no bet
Maribor (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Maribor -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Maribor to score first
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Maribor ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maribor / FT Maribor✓
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.60
–
Recent results
Nafta – last 6
LLDWWL
21 Aug
@ Olimpija Ljubljana
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Celje
1–3
L
9 Aug
@ Aluminij
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Mura
5–2
W
26 Jul
@ Bravo
3–0
W
17 Jul
vs Koper
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Maribor – last 6
WDWDWD
23 Aug
vs Bravo
3–1
W
15 Aug
@ Olimpija Ljubljana
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Koper
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ Celje
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Brinje-Grosuplje
3–0
W
19 Jul
@ Aluminij
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nafta and Maribor.
Our pick is Maribor to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Nafta vs Maribor?
On our numbers Nafta have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Maribor 68%.
How many goals will there be in Nafta vs Maribor?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nafta vs Maribor?
Our predicted score is Nafta 0–1 Maribor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Nafta vs Maribor?
Nafta vs Maribor (1. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
