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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Pogoń Siedlce v Nieciecza: numbers & prediction

I Liga · Poland · Stadion ROSRRiT
1–2
FT
Pogoń Siedlce 30%Draw 25%Nieciecza 45% Expected goals 1.21 – 1.49
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultNieciecza to win ✓45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.06

Pogoń Siedlce vs Nieciecza: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Pogoń Siedlce welcome Nieciecza to Stadion ROSRRiT for a I Liga fixture on Saturday 1 August (14:30 WAT). In the table, Pogoń Siedlce are 10th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Nieciecza are 6th (upper half) with 22. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Pogoń Siedlce, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with ŁKS Łódź, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Nieciecza, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ruch Chorzów, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Nieciecza, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Pogoń Siedlce.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pogoń Siedlce 1.2 xG, Nieciecza 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Pogoń Siedlce 30%, draw 25%, Nieciecza 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.70, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogoń Siedlce 1–1 Nieciecza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pogoń Siedlce30%fair 3.36 · @3.10
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.00
Nieciecza45%fair 2.23 · @2.15
2.70Expected goals
1.21Pogoń Siedlce xG
1.49Nieciecza xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%

From our goals model: Pogoń Siedlce 1.2 – 1.5 Nieciecza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNieciecza to win ✓45%2.232.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.75
Draw no betNieciecza (draw no bet) ✓60%1.66–
Asian handicapPogoń Siedlce +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.97–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreNieciecza to score first ✗52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nieciecza / FT Nieciecza ✗26%3.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%11.06–

Recent results

Pogoń Siedlce – last 6

DWDLLL
25 Julvs ŁKS Łódź1–1D
18 Jul@ Radomiak Radom2–1W
11 Jul@ Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2–2D
4 Jul@ Jagiellonia1–4L
27 Junvs Unia Skierniewice0–3L
24 May@ Wisla Krakow0–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Nieciecza – last 6

WLDWWW
26 Julvs Ruch Chorzów2–0W
25 Jul@ Busko-Zdroj1–6L
18 Jul@ Podbeskidzie1–1D
17 Jul@ Korona Kielce2–0W
11 Jul@ Sandecja Nowy Sącz2–1W
4 Julvs Resovia Rzeszów4–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Pogoń Siedlce and Nieciecza.

Pogoń Siedlce vs Nieciecza head-to-head page →

I Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Warszawa14743+825
2ŁKS Łódź14743+525
3Polonia Bytom14662+424
4Lechia Gdansk14716+322
5Ruch Chorzów14644+322
6Nieciecza14644+222
7Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki14635+621
8Miedz Legnica14554+720
9Warta Poznań14617019
10Pogoń Siedlce14545019
11Stal Mielec14545-819
12Arka Gdynia14536+218
13Stal Rzeszów14536-718
14Chrobry Głogów14365-215
15Podbeskidzie14293-315
16Puszcza Niepołomice14428-414
17Unia Skierniewice14428-614
18Odra Opole14338-1012

More I Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pogoń Siedlce vs Nieciecza?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Nieciecza?

On our numbers Pogoń Siedlce have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nieciecza 45%.

How many goals will there be in Pogoń Siedlce vs Nieciecza?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pogoń Siedlce vs Nieciecza?

Our predicted score is Pogoń Siedlce 1–1 Nieciecza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Pogoń Siedlce vs Nieciecza?

Pogoń Siedlce vs Nieciecza (I Liga) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion ROSRRiT.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.