Polonia Warszawa 57%Draw 22%Unia Skierniewice 21%Expected goals 1.76 – 0.99
79%
Betarazi pick
Polonia Warszawa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultPolonia Warszawa to win ✓57% · @1.73
Double chancePolonia Warszawa or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 1 August the I Liga brings Polonia Warszawa against Unia Skierniewice at Stadion Polonii. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Polonia Warszawa are 1st, leading the league, on 25 points after 14 matches; Unia Skierniewice are 17th (in the drop zone) with 14.
Current form
Polonia Warszawa, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Puszcza Niepołomice, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Unia Skierniewice, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Stal Mielec, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Polonia Warszawa 1.8 xG, Unia Skierniewice 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Polonia Warszawa 57%, draw 22%, Unia Skierniewice 21%.
Lower-risk option: Polonia Warszawa or draw (79%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Polonia Warszawa or draw (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Polonia Warszawa 1–0 Unia Skierniewice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Polonia Warszawa57%fair 1.77 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.40
Unia Skierniewice21%fair 4.78 · @4.00
2.75Expected goals
1.76Polonia Warszawa xG
0.99Unia Skierniewice xG
52%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Polonia Warszawa 1.8 – 1.0 Unia Skierniewice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polonia Warszawa to win✓
57%
1.77
1.73
Double chance
Polonia Warszawa or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Draw no bet
Polonia Warszawa (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Unia Skierniewice +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Polonia Warszawa to score first✗
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polonia Warszawa / FT Polonia Warszawa✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Polonia Warszawa – last 6
WWLLWL
26 Jul
@ Puszcza Niepołomice
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz
3–2
W
15 Jul
vs Zlin
0–2
L
11 Jul
@ Motor Lublin
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Pelikan Łowicz
1–0
W
4 Jul
@ Wisla Plock
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Unia Skierniewice – last 6
LWDLWL
26 Jul
vs Stal Mielec
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs Kalisz
4–0
W
11 Jul
@ ŁKS Łódź
2–2
D
4 Jul
vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0–1
L
27 Jun
@ Pogoń Siedlce
3–0
W
30 May
@ Kalisz
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polonia Warszawa and Unia Skierniewice.
What is the prediction for Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice?
Our pick is Polonia Warszawa or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice?
On our numbers Polonia Warszawa have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Unia Skierniewice 21%.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice?
Our predicted score is Polonia Warszawa 1–0 Unia Skierniewice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice?
Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice (I Liga) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Polonii.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
