Value bet: Arka Gdynia to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultArka Gdynia to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.22
Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:30 WAT, Sunday 23 August: Miedz Legnica v Arka Gdynia in the I Liga. In the table, Miedz Legnica are 8th, upper half, on 20 points after 14 matches; Arka Gdynia are 12th (lower half) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Miedz Legnica, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Unia Skierniewice, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Arka Gdynia, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Puszcza Niepołomice, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Miedz Legnica 1.1 xG, Arka Gdynia 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Miedz Legnica 38%, draw 23%, Arka Gdynia 39%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Arka Gdynia to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Miedz Legnica 1–1 Arka Gdynia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Miedz Legnica38%fair 2.61 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.20
Arka Gdynia39%fair 2.55 · @2.80
2.25Expected goals
1.12Miedz Legnica xG
1.13Arka Gdynia xG
56%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Miedz Legnica 1.1 – 1.1 Arka Gdynia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arka Gdynia to win✗
39%
2.55
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.55
Draw no bet
Arka Gdynia (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Miedz Legnica +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Arka Gdynia to score first✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arka Gdynia / FT Arka Gdynia✗
20%
4.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.22
–
Recent results
Miedz Legnica – last 6
WLWDWD
16 Aug
@ Unia Skierniewice
3–0
W
8 Aug
vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0–1
L
2 Aug
@ Ruch Chorzów
2–0
W
27 Jul
vs Podbeskidzie
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Chojniczanka Chojnice
3–2
W
8 Jul
@ Piast Gliwice
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Arka Gdynia – last 6
WLWWWL
17 Aug
vs Puszcza Niepołomice
3–0
W
10 Aug
@ Unia Skierniewice
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Stal Rzeszów
4–0
W
24 Jul
@ Odra Opole
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs Luzino
2–0
W
11 Jul
vs Olimpia Grudziądz
2–4
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Miedz Legnica and Arka Gdynia.
What is the prediction for Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia?
On our numbers Miedz Legnica have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arka Gdynia 39%.
How many goals will there be in Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia?
Our predicted score is Miedz Legnica 1–1 Arka Gdynia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia?
Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
