Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
1
Value bet: ŁKS Łódź to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultŁKS Łódź to win ✓62% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.60
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73
ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Mielec: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 23 August the I Liga brings ŁKS Łódź against Stal Mielec. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, ŁKS Łódź are 2nd, among the top four, on 25 points after 14 matches; Stal Mielec are 11th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
ŁKS Łódź, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nieciecza, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Stal Mielec, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Polonia Bytom, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Stal Mielec, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for ŁKS Łódź.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Feb 2026) it ended Stal Mielec 1–2 ŁKS Łódź.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ŁKS Łódź 2.3 xG, Stal Mielec 1.3 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ŁKS Łódź 62%, draw 14%, Stal Mielec 24%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: ŁKS Łódź to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: ŁKS Łódź 2–1 Stal Mielec. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ŁKS Łódź62%fair 1.62 · @1.75
Draw14%fair 7.17 · @3.80
Stal Mielec24%fair 4.09 · @3.60
3.63Expected goals
2.29ŁKS Łódź xG
1.34Stal Mielec xG
65%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: ŁKS Łódź 2.3 – 1.3 Stal Mielec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Mielec?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Mielec?
On our numbers ŁKS Łódź have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Stal Mielec 24%.
How many goals will there be in ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Mielec?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Mielec?
Our predicted score is ŁKS Łódź 2–1 Stal Mielec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Mielec?
ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Mielec (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
