Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Picks by market
ResultPolonia Bytom to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Polonia Bytom welcome Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to Boisko ul. Pilkarska 8 for a I Liga fixture on Saturday 22 August (14:30 WAT). In the table, Polonia Bytom are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 14 matches; Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 7th (upper half) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Polonia Bytom, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Stal Mielec, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Stal Rzeszów, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Polonia Bytom.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Polonia Bytom 2.1 xG, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Polonia Bytom 62%, draw 15%, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 23%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Polonia Bytom to win (62%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Polonia Bytom 2–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Polonia Bytom62%fair 1.61 · @1.91
Draw15%fair 6.59 · @3.60
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki23%fair 4.39 · @3.30
3.25Expected goals
2.10Polonia Bytom xG
1.15Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki xG
65%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Polonia Bytom 2.1 – 1.1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polonia Bytom to win✗
62%
1.61
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.50
Draw no bet
Polonia Bytom (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Polonia Bytom to score first
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Polonia Bytom ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polonia Bytom / FT Polonia Bytom✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Polonia Bytom – last 6
LDLWLW
16 Aug
@ Stal Mielec
2–5
L
7 Aug
vs Pogoń Siedlce
2–2
D
31 Jul
@ ŁKS Łódź
1–2
L
24 Jul
vs Warta Poznań
4–3
W
11 Jul
@ Opava
2–3
L
4 Jul
vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki – last 6
DWWWLL
14 Aug
vs Stal Rzeszów
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Miedz Legnica
1–0
W
2 Aug
vs Puszcza Niepołomice
1–0
W
25 Jul
@ Lechia Gdansk
3–0
W
18 Jul
@ Legia Warszawa
1–2
L
17 Jul
vs Wigry Suwałki
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polonia Bytom and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.
What is the prediction for Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
Our pick is Polonia Bytom to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
On our numbers Polonia Bytom have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 23%.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
Our predicted score is Polonia Bytom 2–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (I Liga) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Boisko ul. Pilkarska 8.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
