Nieciecza vs Polonia Warszawa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Saturday 22 August: Nieciecza v Polonia Warszawa in the I Liga, played at Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza. In the table, Nieciecza are 6th, upper half, on 22 points after 14 matches; Polonia Warszawa are 1st (leading the league) with 25. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Nieciecza, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to ŁKS Łódź, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Polonia Warszawa, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Pogoń Siedlce, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Polonia Warszawa, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Nieciecza.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nieciecza 1.3 xG, Polonia Warszawa 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nieciecza 38%, draw 21%, Polonia Warszawa 41%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nieciecza 1–1 Polonia Warszawa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nieciecza38%fair 2.61 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.50
Polonia Warszawa41%fair 2.46 · @2.40
2.67Expected goals
1.31Nieciecza xG
1.36Polonia Warszawa xG
63%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nieciecza 1.3 – 1.4 Polonia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polonia Warszawa to win✓
41%
2.46
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.50
Draw no bet
Polonia Warszawa (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Nieciecza +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Polonia Warszawa to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polonia Warszawa / FT Polonia Warszawa✓
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.92
–
Recent results
Nieciecza – last 6
LLWWLD
16 Aug
@ ŁKS Łódź
1–2
L
9 Aug
vs Warta Poznań
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Pogoń Siedlce
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs Ruch Chorzów
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ Busko-Zdroj
1–6
L
18 Jul
@ Podbeskidzie
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Polonia Warszawa – last 6
LDWWWL
15 Aug
@ Pogoń Siedlce
0–1
L
7 Aug
vs Ruch Chorzów
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Unia Skierniewice
3–1
W
26 Jul
@ Puszcza Niepołomice
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz
3–2
W
15 Jul
vs Zlin
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nieciecza and Polonia Warszawa.
What is the prediction for Nieciecza vs Polonia Warszawa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nieciecza vs Polonia Warszawa?
On our numbers Nieciecza have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Polonia Warszawa 41%.
How many goals will there be in Nieciecza vs Polonia Warszawa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nieciecza vs Polonia Warszawa?
Our predicted score is Nieciecza 1–1 Polonia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Nieciecza vs Polonia Warszawa?
Nieciecza vs Polonia Warszawa (I Liga) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
