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Chrobry Głogów v Warta Poznań: numbers & prediction

I Liga · Poland · Stadion Chrobrego
0–1
FT
Chrobry Głogów 46%Draw 24%Warta Poznań 30% Expected goals 1.81 – 1.42
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Chrobry Głogów to win @ 3.25 – our chance 46% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +50%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultChrobry Głogów to win ✗46% · @3.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · fair 1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.87

Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 21 August the I Liga brings Chrobry Głogów against Warta Poznań at Stadion Chrobrego. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Chrobry Głogów are 14th, lower half, on 15 points after 14 matches; Warta Poznań are 9th (upper half) with 19.

Current form

Chrobry Głogów, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Podbeskidzie, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Warta Poznań, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Odra Opole, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Jul 2026) it ended Chrobry Głogów 3–1 Warta Poznań.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chrobry Głogów 1.8 xG, Warta Poznań 1.4 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chrobry Głogów 46%, draw 24%, Warta Poznań 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Chrobry Głogów to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 46%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chrobry Głogów 1–1 Warta Poznań. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chrobry Głogów46%fair 2.17 · @3.25
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.45
Warta Poznań30%fair 3.38 · @1.95
3.22Expected goals
1.81Chrobry Głogów xG
1.42Warta Poznań xG
65%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%

From our goals model: Chrobry Głogów 1.8 – 1.4 Warta Poznań expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChrobry Głogów to win ✗46%2.173.25 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.32–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗65%1.541.62 ▲
Draw no betChrobry Głogów (draw no bet) ✗61%1.64–
Asian handicapWarta Poznań +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79%1.261.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.721.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.581.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.261.11
First team to scoreChrobry Głogów to score first ✗54%1.86–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.65–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chrobry Głogów / FT Chrobry Głogów ✗29%3.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.87–

Recent results

Chrobry Głogów – last 6

DWLWLL
15 Augvs Podbeskidzie1–1D
9 Aug@ ŁKS Łódź2–1W
3 Augvs Odra Opole0–1L
25 Jul@ Stal Rzeszów5–1W
18 Julvs Ślęza Wrocław1–2L
18 Jul@ Zaglebie Lubin0–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Warta Poznań – last 6

LWLWLL
15 Aug@ Odra Opole1–3L
9 Aug@ Nieciecza2–1W
5 Augvs Resovia Rzeszów0–1L
31 Jul@ Lechia Gdansk3–0W
24 Jul@ Polonia Bytom3–4L
18 Julvs Górnik Polkowice3–4L
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Jul 2026Chrobry Głogów v Warta Poznań3–1
Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań head-to-head page →

I Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Warszawa14743+825
2ŁKS Łódź14743+525
3Polonia Bytom14662+424
4Lechia Gdansk14716+322
5Ruch Chorzów14644+322
6Nieciecza14644+222
7Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki14635+621
8Miedz Legnica14554+720
9Warta Poznań14617019
10Pogoń Siedlce14545019
11Stal Mielec14545-819
12Arka Gdynia14536+218
13Stal Rzeszów14536-718
14Chrobry Głogów14365-215
15Podbeskidzie14293-315
16Puszcza Niepołomice14428-414
17Unia Skierniewice14428-614
18Odra Opole14338-1012

More I Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań?

On our numbers Chrobry Głogów have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Warta Poznań 30%.

How many goals will there be in Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań?

Our predicted score is Chrobry Głogów 1–1 Warta Poznań, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań?

Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań (I Liga) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Chrobrego.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.