Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultStal Mielec to win ✗44% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.31
Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 29 August the I Liga brings Pogoń Siedlce against Stal Mielec at Stadion ROSRRiT. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Pogoń Siedlce are 10th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Stal Mielec are 11th (lower half) with 19. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pogoń Siedlce, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lechia Gdansk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Stal Mielec, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to ŁKS Łódź, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pogoń Siedlce 1.5 xG, Stal Mielec 1.8 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pogoń Siedlce 34%, draw 23%, Stal Mielec 44%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogoń Siedlce 1–1 Stal Mielec. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pogoń Siedlce34%fair 2.98 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Stal Mielec44%fair 2.29 · @2.25
3.30Expected goals
1.53Pogoń Siedlce xG
1.77Stal Mielec xG
62%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
0–26%
From our goals model: Pogoń Siedlce 1.5 – 1.8 Stal Mielec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stal Mielec to win✗
44%
2.29
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.57
Draw no bet
Stal Mielec (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Pogoń Siedlce +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
Stal Mielec to score first✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stal Mielec / FT Stal Mielec✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.31
–
Recent results
Pogoń Siedlce – last 6
LWDLDW
21 Aug
@ Lechia Gdansk
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Polonia Warszawa
1–0
W
7 Aug
@ Polonia Bytom
2–2
D
1 Aug
vs Nieciecza
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs ŁKS Łódź
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Radomiak Radom
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Stal Mielec – last 6
LWDDWL
23 Aug
@ ŁKS Łódź
0–4
L
16 Aug
vs Polonia Bytom
5–2
W
8 Aug
vs Stal Rzeszów
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Podbeskidzie
3–3
D
26 Jul
@ Unia Skierniewice
2–1
W
11 Jul
vs Puszcza Niepołomice
1–4
L
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogoń Siedlce and Stal Mielec.
What is the prediction for Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec?
On our numbers Pogoń Siedlce have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stal Mielec 44%.
How many goals will there be in Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec?
Our predicted score is Pogoń Siedlce 1–1 Stal Mielec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec?
Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec (I Liga) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion ROSRRiT.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
