Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to win ✓40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.88
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki welcome Warta Poznań to Stadion Miejski for a I Liga fixture on Friday 4 September (17:00 WAT). In the table, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 7th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Warta Poznań are 9th (upper half) with 19. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Podhale Nowy Targ, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Warta Poznań, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Miedz Legnica, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1.5 xG, Warta Poznań 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 40%, draw 21%, Warta Poznań 39%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1–1 Warta Poznań. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki40%fair 2.53 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.50
Warta Poznań39%fair 2.54 · @2.45
2.98Expected goals
1.49Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki xG
1.49Warta Poznań xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1.5 – 1.5 Warta Poznań expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to win✓
40%
2.53
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.50
Draw no bet
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Warta Poznań +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki / FT Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.88
–
Recent results
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki – last 6
LDDDWW
1 Sep
@ Podhale Nowy Targ
1–3
L
28 Aug
vs Nieciecza
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Polonia Bytom
2–2
D
14 Aug
vs Stal Rzeszów
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Miedz Legnica
1–0
W
2 Aug
vs Puszcza Niepołomice
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Warta Poznań – last 6
LWLWLW
30 Aug
@ Miedz Legnica
1–2
L
21 Aug
@ Chrobry Głogów
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Odra Opole
1–3
L
9 Aug
@ Nieciecza
2–1
W
5 Aug
vs Resovia Rzeszów
0–1
L
31 Jul
@ Lechia Gdansk
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki and Warta Poznań.
What is the prediction for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań?
On our numbers Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Warta Poznań 39%.
How many goals will there be in Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań?
Our predicted score is Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1–1 Warta Poznań, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań?
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań (I Liga) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
