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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nieciecza v Lechia Gdansk: numbers & prediction

I Liga · Poland · Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza
2–1
FT
Nieciecza 59%Draw 17%Lechia Gdansk 24% Expected goals 1.97 – 1.13
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.48Odds
1

Value bet: Nieciecza to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultNieciecza to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.12

Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lechia Gdansk travel to face Nieciecza on Friday 4 September in the I Liga, with Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Nieciecza are 6th, upper half, on 22 points after 14 matches; Lechia Gdansk are 4th (among the top four) with 22. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Nieciecza, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Wigry Suwałki, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Lechia Gdansk, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kluczbork, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Lechia Gdansk, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Nieciecza.

Head to head

When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended Nieciecza 3–2 Lechia Gdansk.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nieciecza 2.0 xG, Lechia Gdansk 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nieciecza 59%, draw 17%, Lechia Gdansk 24%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.48.
  • Price worth noting: Nieciecza to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nieciecza 1–1 Lechia Gdansk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nieciecza59%fair 1.68 · @1.85
Draw17%fair 6.06 · @3.70
Lechia Gdansk24%fair 4.15 · @3.40
3.10Expected goals
1.97Nieciecza xG
1.13Lechia Gdansk xG
65%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: Nieciecza 2.0 – 1.1 Lechia Gdansk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNieciecza to win ✓59%1.681.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.201.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.541.48
Draw no betNieciecza (draw no bet) ✓71%1.41–
Asian handicapLechia Gdansk +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.241.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.621.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreNieciecza to score first61%1.65–
Half-time resultNieciecza ahead at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nieciecza / FT Nieciecza ✗36%2.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.12–

Recent results

Nieciecza – last 6

WDLLLW
1 Sep@ Wigry Suwałki5–1W
28 Aug@ Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2–2D
22 Augvs Polonia Warszawa1–3L
16 Aug@ ŁKS Łódź1–2L
9 Augvs Warta Poznań1–2L
1 Aug@ Pogoń Siedlce2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Lechia Gdansk – last 6

WWWLDL
1 Sep@ Kluczbork2–1W
29 Aug@ Polonia Warszawa4–2W
21 Augvs Pogoń Siedlce1–0W
14 Aug@ Ruch Chorzów0–1L
8 Aug@ Podbeskidzie2–2D
31 Julvs Warta Poznań0–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 May 2026Nieciecza v Lechia Gdansk3–2
Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk head-to-head page →

I Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Warszawa14743+825
2ŁKS Łódź14743+525
3Polonia Bytom14662+424
4Lechia Gdansk14716+322
5Ruch Chorzów14644+322
6Nieciecza14644+222
7Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki14635+621
8Miedz Legnica14554+720
9Warta Poznań14617019
10Pogoń Siedlce14545019
11Stal Mielec14545-819
12Arka Gdynia14536+218
13Stal Rzeszów14536-718
14Chrobry Głogów14365-215
15Podbeskidzie14293-315
16Puszcza Niepołomice14428-414
17Unia Skierniewice14428-614
18Odra Opole14338-1012

More I Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?

On our numbers Nieciecza have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Lechia Gdansk 24%.

How many goals will there be in Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?

Our predicted score is Nieciecza 1–1 Lechia Gdansk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?

Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk (I Liga) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.