Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Lechia Gdansk to win @ 2.20 – our chance 49% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLechia Gdansk to win ✓49% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.63
Lechia Gdansk vs Arka Gdynia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Lechia Gdansk v Arka Gdynia in the I Liga, played at Polsat Plus Arena. In the table, Lechia Gdansk are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 14 matches; Arka Gdynia are 12th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Lechia Gdansk, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Stal Rzeszów, away. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Arka Gdynia, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Polonia Warszawa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lechia Gdansk, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Arka Gdynia.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended Arka Gdynia 2–2 Lechia Gdansk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lechia Gdansk 1.7 xG, Arka Gdynia 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lechia Gdansk 49%, draw 22%, Arka Gdynia 30%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Lechia Gdansk to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lechia Gdansk 1–1 Arka Gdynia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lechia Gdansk49%fair 2.06 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30
Arka Gdynia30%fair 3.35 · @2.80
3.00Expected goals
1.72Lechia Gdansk xG
1.28Arka Gdynia xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Lechia Gdansk 1.7 – 1.3 Arka Gdynia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lechia Gdansk vs Arka Gdynia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Lechia Gdansk vs Arka Gdynia?
On our numbers Lechia Gdansk have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Arka Gdynia 30%.
How many goals will there be in Lechia Gdansk vs Arka Gdynia?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lechia Gdansk vs Arka Gdynia?
Our predicted score is Lechia Gdansk 1–1 Arka Gdynia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Lechia Gdansk vs Arka Gdynia?
Lechia Gdansk vs Arka Gdynia (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Polsat Plus Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
