Value bet: Stal Rzeszów to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPogoń Siedlce to win ✗39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.51
Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszów: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 18 October the I Liga brings Pogoń Siedlce against Stal Rzeszów at Stadion ROSRRiT. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Pogoń Siedlce are 10th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Stal Rzeszów are 13th (lower half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pogoń Siedlce, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Puszcza Niepołomice, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Stal Rzeszów, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Lechia Gdansk, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Stal Rzeszów, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Pogoń Siedlce.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pogoń Siedlce 1.2 xG, Stal Rzeszów 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pogoń Siedlce 39%, draw 23%, Stal Rzeszów 38%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Stal Rzeszów to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogoń Siedlce 1–1 Stal Rzeszów. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pogoń Siedlce39%fair 2.56 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.10
Stal Rzeszów38%fair 2.63 · @2.80
2.45Expected goals
1.23Pogoń Siedlce xG
1.22Stal Rzeszów xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Pogoń Siedlce 1.2 – 1.2 Stal Rzeszów expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogoń Siedlce to win✗
39%
2.56
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.60
Draw no bet
Pogoń Siedlce (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Stal Rzeszów +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Pogoń Siedlce to score first✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogoń Siedlce / FT Pogoń Siedlce✗
21%
4.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.51
–
Recent results
Pogoń Siedlce – last 6
LLWDDW
15 Oct
vs Puszcza Niepołomice
1–3
L
9 Oct
@ Podbeskidzie
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Arka Gdynia
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Chrobry Głogów
0–0
D
1 Sep
@ Kluczevia Stargard
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Stal Mielec
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Stal Rzeszów – last 6
LDWWWW
12 Oct
vs Lechia Gdansk
1–2
L
2 Oct
@ Karviná
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Miedz Legnica
3–2
W
13 Sep
@ Odra Opole
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Polonia Warszawa
2–1
W
1 Sep
vs Podbeskidzie
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogoń Siedlce and Stal Rzeszów.
What is the prediction for Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszów?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszów?
On our numbers Pogoń Siedlce have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stal Rzeszów 38%.
How many goals will there be in Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszów?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszów?
Our predicted score is Pogoń Siedlce 1–1 Stal Rzeszów, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszów?
Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszów (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion ROSRRiT.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
