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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Arka Gdynia v Nieciecza: numbers & prediction

I Liga · Poland · Stadion Miejski w Gdyni
3–1
FT
Arka Gdynia 37%Draw 21%Nieciecza 41% Expected goals 1.32 – 1.41
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.55Odds
2

Value bet: Nieciecza to win @ 2.80 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultNieciecza to win ✗41% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.70

Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 24 October the I Liga brings Arka Gdynia against Nieciecza at Stadion Miejski w Gdyni. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Arka Gdynia are 12th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Nieciecza are 6th (upper half) with 22.

Current form

Arka Gdynia, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Lechia Gdansk, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Nieciecza, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Puszcza Niepołomice, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Nieciecza, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.7 for Arka Gdynia.

Head to head

When they last met (18 May 2026) it ended Arka Gdynia 2–3 Nieciecza.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Arka Gdynia 1.3 xG, Nieciecza 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Arka Gdynia 37%, draw 21%, Nieciecza 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.
  • Price worth noting: Nieciecza to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arka Gdynia 1–1 Nieciecza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Arka Gdynia37%fair 2.67 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40
Nieciecza41%fair 2.42 · @2.80
2.73Expected goals
1.32Arka Gdynia xG
1.41Nieciecza xG
62%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Arka Gdynia 1.3 – 1.4 Nieciecza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNieciecza to win ✗41%2.422.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.55
Draw no betNieciecza (draw no bet) ✗52%1.91–
Asian handicapArka Gdynia +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.95–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreNieciecza to score first ✗48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nieciecza / FT Nieciecza ✗23%4.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.70–

Recent results

Arka Gdynia – last 6

LLLLDW
18 Oct@ Lechia Gdansk1–2L
10 Octvs Polonia Warszawa1–2L
20 Sep@ Pogoń Siedlce1–2L
12 Sep@ Warta Poznań0–3L
6 Sepvs ŁKS Łódź1–1D
2 Sep@ Resovia Rzeszów4–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Nieciecza – last 6

WDWWWW
19 Octvs Puszcza Niepołomice2–0W
10 Oct@ Unia Skierniewice2–2D
3 Oct@ Cracovia Krakow3–2W
19 Sepvs Odra Opole1–0W
14 Sep@ Stal Mielec2–1W
4 Sepvs Lechia Gdansk2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 May 2026Arka Gdynia v Nieciecza2–3
Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza head-to-head page →

I Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Warszawa14743+825
2ŁKS Łódź14743+525
3Polonia Bytom14662+424
4Lechia Gdansk14716+322
5Ruch Chorzów14644+322
6Nieciecza14644+222
7Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki14635+621
8Miedz Legnica14554+720
9Warta Poznań14617019
10Pogoń Siedlce14545019
11Stal Mielec14545-819
12Arka Gdynia14536+218
13Stal Rzeszów14536-718
14Chrobry Głogów14365-215
15Podbeskidzie14293-315
16Puszcza Niepołomice14428-414
17Unia Skierniewice14428-614
18Odra Opole14338-1012

More I Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza?

On our numbers Arka Gdynia have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nieciecza 41%.

How many goals will there be in Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza?

Our predicted score is Arka Gdynia 1–1 Nieciecza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza?

Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza (I Liga) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski w Gdyni.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.