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Stal Mielec v Chrobry Głogów: numbers & prediction

I Liga · Poland · Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu
0–0
FT
Stal Mielec 42%Draw 22%Chrobry Głogów 36% Expected goals 1.69 – 1.54
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultStal Mielec to win ✗42% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.52

Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 24 October the I Liga brings Stal Mielec against Chrobry Głogów at Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Stal Mielec are 11th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Chrobry Głogów are 14th (lower half) with 15.

Current form

Stal Mielec, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Miedz Legnica, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Chrobry Głogów, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Polonia Bytom, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Stal Mielec, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for Chrobry Głogów.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended Chrobry Głogów 2–1 Stal Mielec.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stal Mielec 1.7 xG, Chrobry Głogów 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Stal Mielec 42%, draw 22%, Chrobry Głogów 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stal Mielec 1–1 Chrobry Głogów. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stal Mielec42%fair 2.37 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Chrobry Głogów36%fair 2.77 · @2.75
3.23Expected goals
1.69Stal Mielec xG
1.54Chrobry Głogów xG
61%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
0–16%

From our goals model: Stal Mielec 1.7 – 1.5 Chrobry Głogów expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStal Mielec to win ✗42%2.372.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.631.57
Draw no betStal Mielec (draw no bet)54%1.86–
Asian handicapChrobry Głogów +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.68–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
First team to scoreStal Mielec to score first ✗50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓38%2.64–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stal Mielec / FT Stal Mielec ✗25%4.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.52–

Recent results

Stal Mielec – last 6

LWLLDD
17 Oct@ Miedz Legnica0–3L
11 Octvs Warta Poznań2–1W
19 Sep@ Lechia Gdansk1–7L
14 Sepvs Nieciecza1–2L
5 Sepvs Odra Opole1–1D
2 Sep@ Górnik Łęczna2–2D
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Chrobry Głogów – last 6

LLLLDD
17 Oct@ Polonia Bytom2–3L
10 Octvs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki0–4L
3 Octvs Warta Poznań1–3L
19 Sep@ Polonia Warszawa0–2L
12 Sepvs Pogoń Siedlce0–0D
5 Sep@ Miedz Legnica1–1D
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Apr 2026Chrobry Głogów v Stal Mielec2–1
Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów head-to-head page →

I Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Warszawa14743+825
2ŁKS Łódź14743+525
3Polonia Bytom14662+424
4Lechia Gdansk14716+322
5Ruch Chorzów14644+322
6Nieciecza14644+222
7Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki14635+621
8Miedz Legnica14554+720
9Warta Poznań14617019
10Pogoń Siedlce14545019
11Stal Mielec14545-819
12Arka Gdynia14536+218
13Stal Rzeszów14536-718
14Chrobry Głogów14365-215
15Podbeskidzie14293-315
16Puszcza Niepołomice14428-414
17Unia Skierniewice14428-614
18Odra Opole14338-1012

More I Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów?

On our numbers Stal Mielec have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chrobry Głogów 36%.

How many goals will there be in Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów?

Our predicted score is Stal Mielec 1–1 Chrobry Głogów, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów?

Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Głogów (I Liga) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.