Value bet: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to win @ 2.94 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPogoń Siedlce to win ✓41% · @2.09
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.90
Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the I Liga brings Pogoń Siedlce against Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki at Stadion ROSRRiT. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Pogoń Siedlce are 10th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 7th (upper half) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pogoń Siedlce, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ruch Chorzów, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Stal Mielec, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Jul 2026) it ended Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 2–2 Pogoń Siedlce. The last 2 head-to-heads: Pogoń Siedlce 1 win, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pogoń Siedlce 1.3 xG, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pogoń Siedlce 41%, draw 21%, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 37%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to win @2.94 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogoń Siedlce 1–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pogoń Siedlce41%fair 2.42 · @2.09
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.34
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki37%fair 2.68 · @2.94
2.59Expected goals
1.34Pogoń Siedlce xG
1.26Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Pogoń Siedlce 1.3 – 1.3 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
On our numbers Pogoń Siedlce have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 37%.
How many goals will there be in Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
Our predicted score is Pogoń Siedlce 1–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion ROSRRiT.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
