Stal Mielec 16%Draw 23%Ruch Chorzów 62%Expected goals 0.90 – 1.96
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultRuch Chorzów to win ✗62% · @1.67
Double chanceRuch Chorzów or draw ✗84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ruch Chorzów travel to face Stal Mielec on Sunday 8 November in the I Liga, with Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu the venue – the ball rolls at 20:15 WAT. In the table, Stal Mielec are 11th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Ruch Chorzów are 5th (upper half) with 22. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Stal Mielec, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Ruch Chorzów, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Pogoń Siedlce, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ruch Chorzów, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Stal Mielec.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stal Mielec 0.9 xG, Ruch Chorzów 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stal Mielec 16%, draw 23%, Ruch Chorzów 62%.
Lower-risk option: Ruch Chorzów or draw (84%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stal Mielec 0–1 Ruch Chorzów. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stal Mielec16%fair 6.30 · @4.10
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.64
Ruch Chorzów62%fair 1.63 · @1.67
2.87Expected goals
0.90Stal Mielec xG
1.96Ruch Chorzów xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Stal Mielec 0.9 – 2.0 Ruch Chorzów expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ruch Chorzów to win✗
62%
1.63
1.67
Double chance
Ruch Chorzów or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.62
Draw no bet
Ruch Chorzów (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Ruch Chorzów -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.64
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.13
First team to score
Ruch Chorzów to score first✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Ruch Chorzów ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ruch Chorzów / FT Ruch Chorzów✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Stal Mielec – last 6
WDLWLL
30 Oct
@ Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1–0
W
24 Oct
vs Chrobry Głogów
0–0
D
17 Oct
@ Miedz Legnica
0–3
L
11 Oct
vs Warta Poznań
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Lechia Gdansk
1–7
L
14 Sep
vs Nieciecza
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ruch Chorzów – last 6
DWWWWL
3 Nov
@ Pogoń Siedlce
1–1
D
28 Oct
@ Znicz Pruszków
1–0
W
25 Oct
vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2–0
W
16 Oct
vs Odra Opole
3–0
W
11 Oct
@ ŁKS Łódź
2–0
W
3 Oct
vs Lechia Gdansk
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stal Mielec and Ruch Chorzów.
What is the prediction for Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów?
On our numbers Stal Mielec have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ruch Chorzów 62%.
How many goals will there be in Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów?
Our predicted score is Stal Mielec 0–1 Ruch Chorzów, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów?
Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
