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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Jezero v Mladost DG: numbers & prediction

First League · Montenegro · Stadion Pod Racinom

Jezero

DWWLL
1–0
FT
Jezero 42%Draw 26%Mladost DG 32% Expected goals 1.40 – 1.02
68%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.38 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.38Odds
1

Value bet: Jezero to win @ 2.80 – our chance 42% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultJezero to win ✓42% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.26

Jezero vs Mladost DG: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Jezero welcome Mladost DG to Stadion Pod Racinom for a First League fixture on Sunday 9 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Jezero are 8th, in the drop zone, on 18 points after 15 matches; Mladost DG are 9th (in the drop zone) with 12.

Current form

Jezero, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Mornar, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Mladost DG, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Otrant-Olympic, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours Mladost DG, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Jezero.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Mladost DG 3–1 Jezero.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Jezero 1.4 xG, Mladost DG 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Jezero 42%, draw 26%, Mladost DG 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.88.
  • Price worth noting: Jezero to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jezero 1–1 Mladost DG. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Jezero42%fair 2.38 · @2.80
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.81
Mladost DG32%fair 3.14 · @2.50
2.42Expected goals
1.40Jezero xG
1.02Mladost DG xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–09%
2–09%

From our goals model: Jezero 1.4 – 1.0 Mladost DG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJezero to win ✓42%2.382.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.831.88
Draw no betJezero (draw no bet) ✓57%1.76–
Asian handicapMladost DG +1 (Asian handicap)71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.481.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.731.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.16
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreJezero to score first ✓53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Jezero / FT Jezero ✓27%3.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.26–

Recent results

Jezero – last 6

DWWLLL
2 Augvs Mornar0–0D
3 Jun@ Iskra5–1W
29 Mayvs Iskra3–0W
24 Mayvs Mornar0–2L
20 May@ Jedinstvo0–2L
6 Mayvs Mornar1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Mladost DG – last 6

WDWLLW
2 Augvs Otrant-Olympic2–1W
17 Julvs FK Vozdovac3–3D
24 May@ Arsenal Tivat4–1W
20 Mayvs Sutjeska0–1L
26 Aprvs Mornar1–2L
8 Aprvs Dečić2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Mladost DG v Jezero3–1
Jezero vs Mladost DG head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Otrant-Olympic15834+927
2Buducnost Podgorica15744+425
3Mornar15663+624
4Sutjeska15654+623
5Dečić14635+321
6Bokelj14545-119
7Petrovac14464+218
8Jezero15465-518
9Mladost DG15339-1412
10Arsenal Tivat14167-109

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jezero vs Mladost DG?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Jezero vs Mladost DG?

On our numbers Jezero have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mladost DG 32%.

How many goals will there be in Jezero vs Mladost DG?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jezero vs Mladost DG?

Our predicted score is Jezero 1–1 Mladost DG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Jezero vs Mladost DG?

Jezero vs Mladost DG (First League) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Pod Racinom.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.