Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 55% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMornar to win ✗60% · @1.62
Double chanceMornar or draw ✓85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 7 August the First League brings Mornar against Arsenal Tivat at Stadion Topolica. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Mornar are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 15 matches; Arsenal Tivat are 10th (in the drop zone) with 9. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Mornar, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Jezero, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Arsenal Tivat, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Dečić, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Arsenal Tivat, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Mornar.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Mornar 1–2 Arsenal Tivat.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mornar 2.0 xG, Arsenal Tivat 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mornar 60%, draw 24%, Arsenal Tivat 15%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mornar to win (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mornar 1–0 Arsenal Tivat. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mornar60%fair 1.66 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
Arsenal Tivat15%fair 6.52 · @5.80
2.78Expected goals
1.95Mornar xG
0.83Arsenal Tivat xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Mornar 2.0 – 0.8 Arsenal Tivat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat?
Our pick is Mornar to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat?
On our numbers Mornar have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arsenal Tivat 15%.
How many goals will there be in Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat?
Our predicted score is Mornar 1–0 Arsenal Tivat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat?
Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat (First League) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Topolica.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
