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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bokelj v Arsenal Tivat: numbers & prediction

First League · Montenegro · Stadion pod Vrmcem

Bokelj

LWWWD
0–0
FT
Bokelj 46%Draw 25%Arsenal Tivat 29% Expected goals 0.35 – 0.15
64%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultBokelj to win ✗46% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓64% · @1.62
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.68

Bokelj vs Arsenal Tivat: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Arsenal Tivat travel to face Bokelj on Sunday 23 August in the First League, with Stadion pod Vrmcem the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Bokelj are 6th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Arsenal Tivat are 10th (in the drop zone) with 9.

Current form

Bokelj, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Dečić, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Arsenal Tivat, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Buducnost Podgorica, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Bokelj, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Arsenal Tivat.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Arsenal Tivat 1–0 Bokelj.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bokelj 0.4 xG, Arsenal Tivat 0.1 xG – a total near 0.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 99% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bokelj 46%, draw 25%, Arsenal Tivat 29%.
  • GG/NG: NG (64%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (64%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bokelj 0–0 Arsenal Tivat. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bokelj46%fair 2.19 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.75
Arsenal Tivat29%fair 3.41 · @3.10
0.50Expected goals
0.35Bokelj xG
0.15Arsenal Tivat xG
36%Both score
1%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–061%
1–021%
0–19%
2–04%
1–13%
0–21%

From our goals model: Bokelj 0.4 – 0.1 Arsenal Tivat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBokelj to win ✗46%2.192.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓64%1.571.62
Draw no betBokelj (draw no bet)61%1.64–
Asian handicapArsenal Tivat +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓99%1.01–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓100%1.00–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓100%1.00–
First team to scoreNo goal ✓61%1.65–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓81%1.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓62%1.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21%4.68–

Recent results

Bokelj – last 6

LWWWDW
17 Aug@ Dečić0–1L
9 Augvs Sutjeska1–0W
1 Aug@ Petrovac1–0W
3 Jun@ Grbalj2–0W
29 Mayvs Grbalj0–0D
24 Mayvs Dečić1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Arsenal Tivat – last 6

DDDLWW
16 Augvs Buducnost Podgorica0–0D
7 Aug@ Mornar0–0D
2 Aug@ Dečić0–0D
24 Mayvs Mladost DG1–4L
20 May@ Dečić2–1W
26 Aprvs Petrovac3–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Arsenal Tivat v Bokelj1–0
Bokelj vs Arsenal Tivat head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Otrant-Olympic15834+927
2Buducnost Podgorica15744+425
3Mornar15663+624
4Sutjeska15654+623
5Dečić14635+321
6Bokelj14545-119
7Petrovac14464+218
8Jezero15465-518
9Mladost DG15339-1412
10Arsenal Tivat14167-109

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bokelj vs Arsenal Tivat?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Bokelj vs Arsenal Tivat?

On our numbers Bokelj have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Arsenal Tivat 29%.

How many goals will there be in Bokelj vs Arsenal Tivat?

We expect about 0.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 1% likely and both teams score 36% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bokelj vs Arsenal Tivat?

Our predicted score is Bokelj 0–0 Arsenal Tivat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 0.5 goals in total.

When is Bokelj vs Arsenal Tivat?

Bokelj vs Arsenal Tivat (First League) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion pod Vrmcem.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.