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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dečić v Jezero: numbers & prediction

First League · Montenegro · Tusko

Dečić

WWWDL
2–1
FT

Jezero

DLWDW
Dečić 59%Draw 21%Jezero 20% Expected goals 1.24 – 0.51
68%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultDečić to win ✓59% · @1.65
Double chanceDečić or draw ✓80% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗63% · fair 1.58
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.63

Dečić vs Jezero: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Jezero travel to face Dečić on Sunday 30 August in the First League, with Tusko the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Dečić are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Jezero are 8th (in the drop zone) with 18. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Dečić, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Otrant-Olympic, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Jezero, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sutjeska, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Mar 2026) it ended Jezero 1–2 Dečić.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dečić 1.2 xG, Jezero 0.5 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dečić 59%, draw 21%, Jezero 20%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.48, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dečić 1–0 Jezero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dečić59%fair 1.69 · @1.65
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.25
Jezero20%fair 5.09 · @5.00
1.75Expected goals
1.24Dečić xG
0.51Jezero xG
37%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–022%
0–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–19%
2–17%

From our goals model: Dečić 1.2 – 0.5 Jezero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDečić to win ✓59%1.691.65
Double chanceDečić or draw ✓80%1.241.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗63%1.58–
Draw no betDečić (draw no bet) ✓75%1.33–
Asian handicapJezero +1 (Asian handicap)64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓52%1.91–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68%1.481.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreDečić to score first59%1.70–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓52%1.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dečić / FT Dečić ✗32%3.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22%4.63–

Recent results

Dečić – last 6

WWWDLL
23 Aug@ Otrant-Olympic3–0W
17 Augvs Bokelj1–0W
8 Aug@ Buducnost Podgorica2–0W
2 Augvs Arsenal Tivat0–0D
15 Julvs FK Liepaja1–2L
9 Jul@ FK Liepaja0–1L
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Jezero – last 6

DLWDWW
22 Augvs Sutjeska0–0D
16 Aug@ Petrovac0–3L
9 Augvs Mladost DG1–0W
2 Augvs Mornar0–0D
3 Jun@ Iskra5–1W
29 Mayvs Iskra3–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Mar 2026Jezero v Dečić1–2
Dečić vs Jezero head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Otrant-Olympic15834+927
2Buducnost Podgorica15744+425
3Mornar15663+624
4Sutjeska15654+623
5Dečić14635+321
6Bokelj14545-119
7Petrovac14464+218
8Jezero15465-518
9Mladost DG15339-1412
10Arsenal Tivat14167-109

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dečić vs Jezero?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Dečić vs Jezero?

On our numbers Dečić have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jezero 20%.

How many goals will there be in Dečić vs Jezero?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dečić vs Jezero?

Our predicted score is Dečić 1–0 Jezero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Dečić vs Jezero?

Dečić vs Jezero (First League) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Tusko.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.