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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mladost DG v Dečić: numbers & prediction

First League · Montenegro · DG Arena
2–0
FT

Dečić

WWWWD
Mladost DG 20%Draw 22%Dečić 58% Expected goals 0.80 – 1.60
80%
Betarazi pick

Dečić or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Dečić to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDečić to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceDečić or draw ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.77

Mladost DG vs Dečić: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Mladost DG v Dečić in the First League, played at DG Arena. In the table, Mladost DG are 9th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 15 matches; Dečić are 5th (upper half) with 21.

Current form

Mladost DG, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Sutjeska, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Dečić, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Jezero, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Dečić, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Mladost DG.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Apr 2026) it ended Mladost DG 2–1 Dečić.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mladost DG 0.8 xG, Dečić 1.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mladost DG 20%, draw 22%, Dečić 58%.
  • Lower-risk option: Dečić or draw (80%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Dečić to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Dečić or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mladost DG 0–1 Dečić. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mladost DG20%fair 4.92 · @3.60
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @2.88
Dečić58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
2.40Expected goals
0.80Mladost DG xG
1.60Dečić xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–112%
0–212%
1–29%
0–09%
1–07%

From our goals model: Mladost DG 0.8 – 1.6 Dečić expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDečić to win ✗58%1.731.95 ▲
Double chanceDečić or draw ✗80%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.871.85
Draw no betDečić (draw no bet) ✗74%1.35–
Asian handicapMladost DG +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.76–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreDečić to score first ✗60%1.65–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dečić / FT Dečić ✗34%2.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.77–

Recent results

Mladost DG – last 6

LDLLWD
28 Aug@ Sutjeska1–5L
22 Augvs Petrovac0–0D
16 Augvs Mornar2–3L
9 Aug@ Jezero0–1L
2 Augvs Otrant-Olympic2–1W
17 Julvs FK Vozdovac3–3D
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Dečić – last 6

WWWWDL
30 Augvs Jezero2–1W
23 Aug@ Otrant-Olympic3–0W
17 Augvs Bokelj1–0W
8 Aug@ Buducnost Podgorica2–0W
2 Augvs Arsenal Tivat0–0D
15 Julvs FK Liepaja1–2L
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Apr 2026Mladost DG v Dečić2–1
Mladost DG vs Dečić head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Otrant-Olympic15834+927
2Buducnost Podgorica15744+425
3Mornar15663+624
4Sutjeska15654+623
5Dečić14635+321
6Bokelj14545-119
7Petrovac14464+218
8Jezero15465-518
9Mladost DG15339-1412
10Arsenal Tivat14167-109

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mladost DG vs Dečić?

Our pick is Dečić or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Mladost DG vs Dečić?

On our numbers Mladost DG have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dečić 58%.

How many goals will there be in Mladost DG vs Dečić?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mladost DG vs Dečić?

Our predicted score is Mladost DG 0–1 Dečić, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Mladost DG vs Dečić?

Mladost DG vs Dečić (First League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at DG Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.