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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mornar v Bokelj: numbers & prediction

First League · Montenegro · Stadion Topolica

Mornar

DWWDD
2–0
FT

Bokelj

DDLWW
Mornar 61%Draw 22%Bokelj 17% Expected goals 1.01 – 0.29
61%
Betarazi pick

Mornar to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultMornar to win ✓61% · @1.62
Double chanceMornar or draw ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗63% · fair 1.60
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗28% · fair 3.62

Mornar vs Bokelj: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 3 September the First League brings Mornar against Bokelj at Stadion Topolica. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Mornar are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 15 matches; Bokelj are 6th (lower half) with 19.

Current form

Mornar, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Petrovac, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Bokelj, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Buducnost Podgorica, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Mar 2026) it ended Bokelj 1–2 Mornar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mornar 1.0 xG, Bokelj 0.3 xG – a total near 1.3. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 86% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mornar 61%, draw 22%, Bokelj 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Mornar or draw (83%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Mornar to win (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mornar 1–0 Bokelj. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mornar61%fair 1.64 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.25
Bokelj17%fair 5.76 · @5.00
1.30Expected goals
1.01Mornar xG
0.29Bokelj xG
43%Both score
14%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–028%
0–027%
2–014%
1–18%
0–18%
3–05%

From our goals model: Mornar 1.0 – 0.3 Bokelj expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMornar to win ✓61%1.641.62
Double chanceMornar or draw ✓83%1.211.14
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓57%1.771.65
Draw no betMornar (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapBokelj +1 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓96%1.05–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓99%1.01–
First team to scoreMornar to score first ✓57%1.76–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗60%1.68–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗31%3.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗28%3.62–

Recent results

Mornar – last 6

DWWDDL
29 Aug@ Petrovac1–1D
21 Augvs Buducnost Podgorica2–1W
16 Aug@ Mladost DG3–2W
7 Augvs Arsenal Tivat0–0D
2 Aug@ Jezero0–0D
16 Julvs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Bokelj – last 6

DDLWWW
30 Aug@ Buducnost Podgorica0–0D
23 Augvs Arsenal Tivat0–0D
17 Aug@ Dečić0–1L
9 Augvs Sutjeska1–0W
1 Aug@ Petrovac1–0W
3 Jun@ Grbalj2–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Mar 2026Bokelj v Mornar1–2
Mornar vs Bokelj head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Otrant-Olympic15834+927
2Buducnost Podgorica15744+425
3Mornar15663+624
4Sutjeska15654+623
5Dečić14635+321
6Bokelj14545-119
7Petrovac14464+218
8Jezero15465-518
9Mladost DG15339-1412
10Arsenal Tivat14167-109

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mornar vs Bokelj?

Our pick is Mornar to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Mornar vs Bokelj?

On our numbers Mornar have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bokelj 17%.

How many goals will there be in Mornar vs Bokelj?

We expect about 1.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 14% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mornar vs Bokelj?

Our predicted score is Mornar 1–0 Bokelj, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.3 goals in total.

When is Mornar vs Bokelj?

Mornar vs Bokelj (First League) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Topolica.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.