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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Arsenal Tivat v Mladost DG: numbers & prediction

First League · Montenegro · Stadion u Parku
0–1
FT
Arsenal Tivat 41%Draw 24%Mladost DG 35% Expected goals 1.20 – 1.09
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.39 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.39Odds

Picks by market

ResultArsenal Tivat to win ✗41% · @2.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · fair 1.32
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.22

Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Arsenal Tivat welcome Mladost DG to Stadion u Parku for a First League fixture on Thursday 10 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, Arsenal Tivat are 10th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 14 matches; Mladost DG are 9th (in the drop zone) with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Arsenal Tivat, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Jezero, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Mladost DG, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Dečić, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Mladost DG, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Arsenal Tivat.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Arsenal Tivat 1–4 Mladost DG.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal Tivat 1.2 xG, Mladost DG 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal Tivat 41%, draw 24%, Mladost DG 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.39). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal Tivat 1–1 Mladost DG. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Arsenal Tivat41%fair 2.46 · @2.34
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.02
Mladost DG35%fair 2.84 · @3.01
2.29Expected goals
1.20Arsenal Tivat xG
1.09Mladost DG xG
46%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Arsenal Tivat 1.2 – 1.1 Mladost DG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArsenal Tivat to win ✗41%2.462.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.32–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.84–
Draw no betArsenal Tivat (draw no bet) ✗54%1.86–
Asian handicapMladost DG +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.501.39
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.691.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreArsenal Tivat to score first ✗47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Arsenal Tivat / FT Arsenal Tivat ✗22%4.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.22–

Recent results

Arsenal Tivat – last 6

LLDDDD
5 Sep@ Jezero2–5L
30 Augvs Otrant-Olympic1–2L
23 Aug@ Bokelj0–0D
16 Augvs Buducnost Podgorica0–0D
7 Aug@ Mornar0–0D
2 Aug@ Dečić0–0D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Mladost DG – last 6

WLDLLW
5 Sepvs Dečić2–0W
28 Aug@ Sutjeska1–5L
22 Augvs Petrovac0–0D
16 Augvs Mornar2–3L
9 Aug@ Jezero0–1L
2 Augvs Otrant-Olympic2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Arsenal Tivat v Mladost DG1–4
Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Otrant-Olympic15834+927
2Buducnost Podgorica15744+425
3Mornar15663+624
4Sutjeska15654+623
5Dečić14635+321
6Bokelj14545-119
7Petrovac14464+218
8Jezero15465-518
9Mladost DG15339-1412
10Arsenal Tivat14167-109

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.

Who will win Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG?

On our numbers Arsenal Tivat have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mladost DG 35%.

How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG?

Our predicted score is Arsenal Tivat 1–1 Mladost DG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG?

Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG (First League) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion u Parku.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.