Value bet: Mornar to win @ 2.80 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMornar to win ✗41% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.15
Sutjeska vs Mornar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mornar travel to face Sutjeska on Tuesday 8 September in the First League, with Stadion Gradski the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Sutjeska are 4th, among the top four, on 23 points after 15 matches; Mornar are 3rd (among the top four) with 24. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sutjeska, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Petrovac, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Mornar, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bokelj, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Mornar, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Sutjeska.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Apr 2026) it ended Mornar 2–1 Sutjeska. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sutjeska 0 wins, Mornar 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sutjeska 1.0 xG, Mornar 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sutjeska 33%, draw 26%, Mornar 41%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Mornar to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sutjeska 0–1 Mornar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sutjeska33%fair 3.04 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.62
Mornar41%fair 2.44 · @2.80
2.08Expected goals
0.96Sutjeska xG
1.12Mornar xG
49%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sutjeska 1.0 – 1.1 Mornar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Sutjeska vs Mornar?
On our numbers Sutjeska have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mornar 41%.
How many goals will there be in Sutjeska vs Mornar?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sutjeska vs Mornar?
Our predicted score is Sutjeska 0–1 Mornar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sutjeska vs Mornar?
Sutjeska vs Mornar (First League) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Gradski.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
