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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dečić v Mornar: numbers & prediction

First League · Montenegro · Tusko

Dečić

LDLWW
1–1
FT

Mornar

LLWDW
Dečić 36%Draw 24%Mornar 40% Expected goals 0.86 – 0.95
52%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.91 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultMornar to win ✗40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.45

Dečić vs Mornar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mornar travel to face Dečić on Sunday 20 September in the First League, with Tusko the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Dečić are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Mornar are 3rd (among the top four) with 24. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Dečić, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sutjeska, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Mornar, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Otrant-Olympic, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (28 May 2026) it ended Dečić 0–1 Mornar. The last 2 head-to-heads: Dečić 0 wins, Mornar 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 0.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dečić 0.9 xG, Mornar 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dečić 36%, draw 24%, Mornar 40%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dečić 0–0 Mornar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dečić36%fair 2.81 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.88
Mornar40%fair 2.49 · @2.50
1.81Expected goals
0.86Dečić xG
0.95Mornar xG
48%Both score
27%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–016%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–26%

From our goals model: Dečić 0.9 – 0.9 Mornar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMornar to win ✗40%2.492.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.911.70
Draw no betMornar (draw no bet)53%1.89–
Asian handicapDečić +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓54%1.85–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreMornar to score first ✓44%2.29–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗53%1.90–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗24%4.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15%6.45–

Recent results

Dečić – last 6

LDLWWW
13 Sep@ Sutjeska0–2L
9 Sepvs Petrovac1–1D
5 Sep@ Mladost DG0–2L
30 Augvs Jezero2–1W
23 Aug@ Otrant-Olympic3–0W
17 Augvs Bokelj1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Mornar – last 6

LLWDWW
14 Sepvs Otrant-Olympic0–1L
8 Sep@ Sutjeska0–1L
3 Sepvs Bokelj2–0W
29 Aug@ Petrovac1–1D
21 Augvs Buducnost Podgorica2–1W
16 Aug@ Mladost DG3–2W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 May 2026Dečić v Mornar0–1
25 Feb 2026Dečić v Mornar0–0
Dečić vs Mornar head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Otrant-Olympic15834+927
2Buducnost Podgorica15744+425
3Mornar15663+624
4Sutjeska15654+623
5Dečić14635+321
6Bokelj14545-119
7Petrovac14464+218
8Jezero15465-518
9Mladost DG15339-1412
10Arsenal Tivat14167-109

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dečić vs Mornar?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Dečić vs Mornar?

On our numbers Dečić have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mornar 40%.

How many goals will there be in Dečić vs Mornar?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dečić vs Mornar?

Our predicted score is Dečić 0–0 Mornar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Dečić vs Mornar?

Dečić vs Mornar (First League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Tusko.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.