Arsenal Tivat v Dečić: numbers & prediction

Arsenal Tivat vs Dečić: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Thursday 8 October: Arsenal Tivat v Dečić in the First League, played at Stadion u Parku. In the table, Arsenal Tivat are 10th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 14 matches; Dečić are 5th (upper half) with 21. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Arsenal Tivat, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sutjeska, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Dečić, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mornar, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Dečić, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Arsenal Tivat.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended Dečić 0–0 Arsenal Tivat. The last 2 head-to-heads: Arsenal Tivat 1 win, Dečić 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal Tivat 0.5 xG, Dečić 1.3 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal Tivat 16%, draw 27%, Dečić 57%.
• Lower-risk option: Dečić or draw (84%) at 1.18.
• GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Dečić to win (57%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal Tivat 0–1 Dečić. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.