Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.47
Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mornar travel to face Arsenal Tivat on Saturday 17 October in the First League, with Stadion u Parku the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Arsenal Tivat are 10th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 14 matches; Mornar are 3rd (among the top four) with 24. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Arsenal Tivat, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Grbalj, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Mornar, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Otrant-Olympic, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Mornar, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Arsenal Tivat.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Aug 2026) it ended Mornar 0–0 Arsenal Tivat. The last 2 head-to-heads: Arsenal Tivat 1 win, Mornar 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal Tivat 0.6 xG, Mornar 1.4 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal Tivat 20%, draw 24%, Mornar 56%.
Lower-risk option: Mornar or draw (80%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mornar to win (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal Tivat 0–1 Mornar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arsenal Tivat20%fair 4.92 · @4.50
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.90
Mornar56%fair 1.78 · @1.75
2.00Expected goals
0.65Arsenal Tivat xG
1.35Mornar xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–118%
0–014%
0–212%
1–112%
1–09%
1–28%
From our goals model: Arsenal Tivat 0.6 – 1.4 Mornar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar?
Our pick is Mornar to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar?
On our numbers Arsenal Tivat have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mornar 56%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar?
Our predicted score is Arsenal Tivat 0–1 Mornar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar?
Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar (First League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion u Parku.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
