Value bet: Bokelj to win @ 2.62 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBokelj to win ✓43% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.99
Bokelj vs Dečić: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dečić travel to face Bokelj on Friday 23 October in the First League, with Stadion pod Vrmcem the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Bokelj are 6th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Dečić are 5th (upper half) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bokelj, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Sutjeska, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Dečić, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Buducnost Podgorica, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Bokelj, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Dečić.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Aug 2026) it ended Dečić 1–0 Bokelj. The last 2 head-to-heads: Bokelj 1 win, Dečić 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bokelj 1.0 xG, Dečić 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bokelj 43%, draw 24%, Dečić 33%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Bokelj to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bokelj 0–0 Dečić. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bokelj43%fair 2.35 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.90
Dečić33%fair 3.01 · @2.45
1.75Expected goals
0.96Bokelj xG
0.79Dečić xG
48%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–017%
1–017%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Bokelj 1.0 – 0.8 Dečić expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Bokelj vs Dečić?
On our numbers Bokelj have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dečić 33%.
How many goals will there be in Bokelj vs Dečić?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bokelj vs Dečić?
Our predicted score is Bokelj 0–0 Dečić, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Bokelj vs Dečić?
Bokelj vs Dečić (First League) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion pod Vrmcem.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
