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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mornar v Mladost DG: numbers & prediction

First League · Montenegro · Stadion Topolica

Mornar

WWDWD
4–1
FT
Mornar 68%Draw 21%Mladost DG 11% Expected goals 1.90 – 0.62
68%
Betarazi pick

Mornar to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultMornar to win ✓68% · @1.48
Double chanceMornar or draw ✓89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.52

Mornar vs Mladost DG: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Thursday 22 October: Mornar v Mladost DG in the First League, played at Stadion Topolica. In the table, Mornar are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 15 matches; Mladost DG are 9th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Mornar, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Arsenal Tivat, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Mladost DG, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Jezero, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Mornar, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Mladost DG.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Oct 2026) it ended Mladost DG 1–5 Mornar. The last 4 head-to-heads: Mornar 4 wins, Mladost DG 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.3 goals and saw GG land 3 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mornar 1.9 xG, Mladost DG 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 42%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mornar 68%, draw 21%, Mladost DG 11%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Mornar to win (68%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mornar 1–0 Mladost DG. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mornar68%fair 1.47 · @1.48
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @4.00
Mladost DG11%fair 9.12 · @5.75
2.52Expected goals
1.90Mornar xG
0.62Mladost DG xG
42%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–015%
1–19%
3–09%
2–19%
0–08%

From our goals model: Mornar 1.9 – 0.6 Mladost DG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMornar to win ✓68%1.471.48
Double chanceMornar or draw ✓89%1.121.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗58%1.71–
Draw no betMornar (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapMornar -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.921.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗89%1.12–
First team to scoreMornar to score first69%1.44–
Half-time resultMornar ahead at half-time ✗48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mornar / FT Mornar ✗44%2.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.52–

Recent results

Mornar – last 6

WWDWDL
17 Oct@ Arsenal Tivat2–1W
13 Oct@ Otrant-Olympic3–0W
8 Octvs Jezero3–3D
2 Oct@ Mladost DG5–1W
20 Sep@ Dečić1–1D
14 Sepvs Otrant-Olympic0–1L
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Mladost DG – last 6

DWDLWL
18 Octvs Jezero0–0D
14 Octvs Iskra4–0W
8 Oct@ Otrant-Olympic2–2D
2 Octvs Mornar1–5L
28 Sep@ Petrovac1–0W
20 Sep@ Bokelj0–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Oct 2026Mladost DG v Mornar1–5
16 Aug 2026Mladost DG v Mornar2–3
26 Apr 2026Mladost DG v Mornar1–2
1 Mar 2026Mornar v Mladost DG3–0
Mornar vs Mladost DG head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Otrant-Olympic15834+927
2Buducnost Podgorica15744+425
3Mornar15663+624
4Sutjeska15654+623
5Dečić14635+321
6Bokelj14545-119
7Petrovac14464+218
8Jezero15465-518
9Mladost DG15339-1412
10Arsenal Tivat14167-109

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mornar vs Mladost DG?

Our pick is Mornar to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Mornar vs Mladost DG?

On our numbers Mornar have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mladost DG 11%.

How many goals will there be in Mornar vs Mladost DG?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mornar vs Mladost DG?

Our predicted score is Mornar 1–0 Mladost DG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Mornar vs Mladost DG?

Mornar vs Mladost DG (First League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Topolica.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.