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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Arsenal Tivat v Jezero: numbers & prediction

First League · Montenegro · Stadion u Parku
0–1
FT

Jezero

WDLDW
Arsenal Tivat 31%Draw 23%Jezero 46% Expected goals 1.06 – 1.38
69%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.34 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.34Odds
2

Value bet: Jezero to win @ 2.38 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultJezero to win ✓46% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.27
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12% · fair 8.32

Arsenal Tivat vs Jezero: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Arsenal Tivat welcome Jezero to Stadion u Parku for a First League fixture on Saturday 7 November (15:00 WAT). In the table, Arsenal Tivat are 10th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 14 matches; Jezero are 8th (in the drop zone) with 18.

Current form

Arsenal Tivat, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Otrant-Olympic, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Jezero, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dečić, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Jezero, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Arsenal Tivat.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Sep 2026) it ended Jezero 5–2 Arsenal Tivat.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal Tivat 1.1 xG, Jezero 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal Tivat 31%, draw 23%, Jezero 46%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.
  • Price worth noting: Jezero to win @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 46%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (69%, odds 1.34). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal Tivat 1–1 Jezero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Arsenal Tivat31%fair 3.25 · @2.71
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.02
Jezero46%fair 2.17 · @2.38
2.44Expected goals
1.06Arsenal Tivat xG
1.38Jezero xG
49%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–28%

From our goals model: Arsenal Tivat 1.1 – 1.4 Jezero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJezero to win ✓46%2.172.38 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.27
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.971.83
Draw no betJezero (draw no bet) ✓60%1.67–
Asian handicapArsenal Tivat +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.451.34
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.771.61
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.03
First team to scoreJezero to score first ✓52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Jezero / FT Jezero ✗26%3.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12%8.32–

Recent results

Arsenal Tivat – last 6

LDDLDL
3 Nov@ Otrant-Olympic1–3L
28 Octvs Bokelj0–0D
22 Oct@ Buducnost Podgorica3–3D
17 Octvs Mornar1–2L
13 Octvs Grbalj1–1D
19 Sepvs Sutjeska0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Jezero – last 6

WDLDWD
3 Novvs Dečić1–0W
29 Oct@ Sutjeska2–2D
23 Octvs Petrovac1–2L
18 Oct@ Mladost DG0–0D
13 Oct@ Lovćen5–1W
8 Oct@ Mornar3–3D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Sep 2026Jezero v Arsenal Tivat5–2
Arsenal Tivat vs Jezero head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Otrant-Olympic15834+927
2Buducnost Podgorica15744+425
3Mornar15663+624
4Sutjeska15654+623
5Dečić14635+321
6Bokelj14545-119
7Petrovac14464+218
8Jezero15465-518
9Mladost DG15339-1412
10Arsenal Tivat14167-109

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arsenal Tivat vs Jezero?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.

Who will win Arsenal Tivat vs Jezero?

On our numbers Arsenal Tivat have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Jezero 46%.

How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tivat vs Jezero?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal Tivat vs Jezero?

Our predicted score is Arsenal Tivat 1–1 Jezero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Arsenal Tivat vs Jezero?

Arsenal Tivat vs Jezero (First League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion u Parku.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.